Interesting hand. He flopped the world and was going for straight value until the river. It probably wasn't until the river that he realized that he might have the worst hand at showdown and needed to bluff in order to win.

So, how do you pick up on betting patterns where a player goes from value on the turn to bluff on the river? That is a hard one. Because usually a player shuts down in that situation and tries to get a free showdown in case they are beat. Here, he decides to go the other way and turn his hand into a bluff. But what makes the bluff so believable is that his bets on the flop and turn were not bluffs.

Not an easy one to sniff out without live tells.

Sizing from villain is strange (smallish) on every street given the number of draws out there, would consider putting in a raise on the turn

River villain is mostly repping a3 with diamonds, 63 with or without, sizing is very odd again but its still prob a fold vs most opponents.. prob not vs someone you describe as spazzy

I would actually consider folding this on the flop quite often, definitely on the turn. Your playing super deep stacked here....if we just had 100BBs its and easy reship but we get away from this early to avoid the spot we are put in on the turn and river here...

If your good on the river here, this villain is a massive fish.

Folding flop or turn as played is unthinkable.

grunch

At low stakes, when somebody raises flop then bets two streets for almost full pot, you're beaten. 55 and 44 are the most likely hands, like you said Ad3d also possible but only 1 combo. Regardless, V is never betting for value with worse, and so our final question must be, can V be bluffing? I don't think any low stakes villain is bluffing nearly enough to make calling here profitable.

Why? The only reason to call turn and fold river is if you believe he only has 36. Or you just don't expect him to triple barrel something that we beat. But some players just never stop betting.

So, what really changes on the river? 36 gets there. That's it. So if we felt we were ahead on the turn, we need to call river.

Which is why I said I would consider folding turn. Because look where we are in the hand now.

Yea having AQdd puts him in such a strong position here, as he can basically play it like he has the nuts. For what its worth, if you felt his river sizing made 0 sense, then it might be worth a call, and I would note that he thinks on a pretty simple level. The scarier players are the ones that aren't afraid to mask value bets with somewhat unusual bet sizing, as 250BB bets are pretty freaking rare.

Of course, he could just be trying to level you and had A3dd :P

You can call the turn and fold the river this deep. Its really not a problem at all. You call the turn and evaluate the river.

You have to give V a range with almost zero draws in order to justify folding OTF and OTT.

Agreed - I know this V will double barrel all this draws after he has x/r flop. I think it's terrible for me to fold. And yes if we only had 200bb I just GII OTF but this deep I felt a call is fine.

To people asking about V's tenancies to triple Barr or x/r flops (yes with many draw combos), not often 3 barreling from what ive seen. Maybe couple drunken 'mad' moments, but never a 250BB bet. But the part that I can't get out of my head was his sizing - I can't see him ever betting more than 400 OTR for value. Had he bet 250 - 350 I would have found it a lot easier to fold - just accepting he had a set or maybe the lucky A3dd

Not many villains @ 1/2 are capable of running a big bluff like this. The ones that are would most likely bail out on an offsuit 2 river when the flush misses.

In my games recently even the fish are trying to make "fishy big bets" to get paid off with value hands.

I'm folding this river.