Thanks everyone for your responses.
Quote:
Originally Posted by AncyentMarinere
What's your image at the table?
I would say half the time I'd go for the min-raise click it back to $100,
and be flatting the other half....
I'm not really concerned going 4-way with AA and that stack-depth.
I think a flat here seems highest EV to me, give them the chance to come along and
shove the flop.
Yes, I think my stack size is what makes it an interesting question, because there just isn't a situation postflop where I'm not stacking off no matter how many players in the pot.
Equilab tells me I have about 61% equity 4 way (different assumptions about villains' ranges make little difference). But if I flat, there are a couple of problems:
Vs 1 and 2 aren't good players, but that doesn't mean they're going to routinely call a 3-bet behind after a call from UTG. If they both fold, I've passed up a chance to get V3 committed to the pot preflop (either with a shove or a min raise that all but obliges him to call a shove on the flop).
Then, suppose Vs 1 and 2 both call. An UTG raise and a flat call of a 3-bet that doesn't close the action basically announces to the table that I have a monster. I can't check most flops because there's a big risk it gets checked through, and my stack is only about 3/4 of the pot so if I'm going to bet I have to shove. There's a chance I'll be called by hands like TPGK, or straight/flush draws, but most of the time when I'm called I'll be behind and drawing to 2 outs. Might I therefore be better off trying to get the same amount into the pot, but be heads-up against V3?
Thirdly, if an ace flops, I'm pretty much never getting paid off by anyone.
Either raising or shoving is definitely the lower variance play, but flatting has its merits. I just don't know how to go about trying to evaluate which is more +EV.
This type of situation is an area of my game I'd really like to work on. I hate it when I win a big pot and still have a nagging feeling that I've leaked some value. Even superdonks can win with AA - I need to be winning the maximum!