Quote:
Originally Posted by hyperknit
is fold to the 3! really correct here? were getting almost 3:1 in position with a suited connector. yes we know that villain is likely very strong (JJ+, AK) but in a way its nice to know that villain doesnt have a balanced range here, he wont be able to make the nuts or even very strong hands on low boards. My understanding is that this will allow me to outplay my opponent on lower connected boards. Am i overvaluing the pot odds here? should I be making folds in similar preflop situations?
as for people mentioning K9, 89 etc, hes a nit! he doesnt 3! these hands here so the point is kind of moot.
as for the turn check, i tried to explain my reasoning earlier... we can only get one street from QQ and JJ...
and to raise the river we must be good 50% of the time when called... 3 combos of KK show up here so we need to find at least 3 other combos that would take this line and then bet/call the river to make this a +EV riv raise. I dont think he would always play AA this way. At least that is my understanding of the situation.
Im really not trying to make a troll post. I was trying my best to exploit a nit, I know everyone is just thinking lol i have a boat ship it, but if u give him 3 or less combos of AA here i cant see how a raise is +EV
If you normally play as bad as you do in this hand, yes, it is a fold, because there is no way you're playing this hand at a profit.
Also you don't have a suited connector.
I could call with your hand here and maybe be profitable, but I'd have about had my stack in by the river.
The average 1/2 rec player could fold to every 3 bet when they aren't holding KK+ and probably do better than they do calling with these sorts of hands.
The reason you're getting flamed is because you're so focused on squeezing a mini bet out of QQ-JJ when you could be murdering AK and AA, which are a big chunk of their range. Also, on the river, they can't bet it for you anymore...you have to raise!