Quote:
Originally Posted by Avaritia
Timing tells, while reliable, are very tricky. Often in live poker they indicate strength, but in this specific situation I would lean towards weakness, or perhaps not weakness but "fear." For example in a 3b pot people often snap bet their overpairs on dry flops.
Id guess his most likely holdings are weaker Jx or total spazz.
Agre that timing tells are tricky...
I think that in this spot, it shows that he wasn't really considering how the K interacted with his and hero's range... So 77 would definitely be a hand where villain might not care, he's planning to shove regardless of river. AJ and QJ I think become a little bit less likely, especially AJ because now he realizes he loses to KJ. I also think it's somewhat unlikely for villain to have KJ here, but hard to say - if he was already planning on shoving, the K otr could potentially make him do it faster.
The timing tell basically makes me slightly more likely to call in this spot, but not a ton. It slightly increases my weighting of 77 while decreasing my weighting of both AJ and KJ. It also would slightly increase my weighting of hands like 9J and 8J.