Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
however, continuing to apply ZT and bet/gii with a hypothetical TT on the river is incorrect imo/ime, because ZT and range analysis now contradict each other
if you bet/gii with TT on this river against an opponent that calls all Ax on the river it's a clear mistake, and i believe we can construct such a range for described V because he can't do anything as rudimentary as removing 4x TT AA from Hero range
The opponent described doesn't understand much about poker. This is a question of experience, but in mine, very bad players look more at their absolute strength and will often raise with a naked Ace in this spot, because zomg the toppest full house. I concede it's not 100% and it depends on your sizing (personally, I'd bet at least 2x pot otr with TT, so it's not really an issue for me). That said, if you pot it, I'd guess half+ of the time that Villain holds an Ace, he will raise. Since I expect him to have Ax at almost full weight when he calls pre, checks flop, and calls our small turn bet, my range analysis gives him more Aces than fours when he raises.
