Villain (35yo drunk white female, 85/30, lost 6 buyins in the last 1.5 hrs, $220) limps UTG. Hero has stacked Villain twice when she bet against the former's nuts.
Hero ($750) raises to $20 with As Ac in UTG+2
Only Villain calls.
Flop ($44): Kh 4h 2c
Villain checks, Hero bets $25, Villain calls
Turn ($94): Ad
Villain checks, Hero bets $55, Villain calls and says "I just need one more good card!" and jumps up and down!
River ($204): 5s
Villain shoves all in for the remainder of her stack
I typically overlimp here and hope to get in a limp/reraise, especially if there are other non-short stacks in the mix. However, if everyone else is short like her and we're expecting to isolate her a lot with a big raise, I have no problem raising big to do so.
I would have preferred just slightly more preflop to have just that more comfortable of a stack off situation postflop, but whatever. SPR is 4.5 and board is drawy and she's spewing money. We're 100% committed. So I'd overbet the flop to like $60 to setup an easy peasy turn shove. Our sizing is going to draw this thing over 3 streets, which I don't like at this SPR / board / opponent.
Even as played I might consider jamming the turn. We're not getting anything more out of her with just some stupid 99 or whatever so we can ignore those hands. If she has KQ, let's try to do this before a scare card possibly kills action. Otherwise, we're mostly targetting draws, and she doesn't seem to be the type to fold draws, plus it's possible she's picked up a multi-draw.
Probably a sigh/crying call on the river. But mostly I think we should have gotten in our money earlier.