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/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? /5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff?

12-24-2015 , 08:28 PM
$5/5 live cash

UTG limp
Hero ($1500) HJ raise $30 QQ
BB ($2800) 3bet $90

BB is tight, first 3bet of the night.

Flop TT2

BB bet $140
Hero call

Turn 6

BB bet $325
Hero fold

I was thinking to turn my hand into a bluff on the turn since BB can never has any T in his 3bet range. I can have ATs KTs JTs 22 66 in my range. But I am not sure that is he going to fold AA/KK if I shove the turn. Only hand I beat is JJ and I don't think BB will 2barrel with AK.

What do you guys think? Do you think is good idea to bluff even you know he has AA/KK? or do you guys think there is a better line to take?
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-24-2015 , 09:47 PM
If you know you're against a player who cannot fold AA/KK, then don't try to make him fold AA/KK.

In addition, if you had a T or 22/66, you'd likely not be raising OTT in position. Always remember to tell a story that makes sense when considering a bluff. In this case, I think a bluff would only make sense OTR if you were against the right player. It would be a more expensive bluff, but that is mitigated by the fact it is likely to work more often.

Last edited by sewktbk; 12-24-2015 at 09:54 PM.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-24-2015 , 09:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sewktbk
If you know you're against a player who cannot fold AA/KK, then don't try to make him fold AA/KK.
You are right.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-24-2015 , 10:15 PM
if you are going to make that move you are going to have to have a rock solid image in the eyes of the villian, and your villian has to be prone to fold in big pots.

it rarely works.

and it is best to make that move earlier in the pot when your V can fold his hand before he has too much invested in the pot.

the only time big bluffs work is when you are rebluffing a bluffer
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-24-2015 , 11:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by PFunkaliscious
and it is best to make that move earlier in the pot when your V can fold his hand before he has too much invested in the pot.
You're never getting V to fold on a TT2 fol when he's holding KK/AA.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 03:52 AM
Sime really tight players love making big folds and others feel like they spent so long waiting for AA that you'll never get him to fold it. If he's a folder, I'd call turn and jam any river lower than a Q, since I want the pot to be as big as possible before i blow him off his hand. Some people think this "never works," but those people don't have los huevos to try it, and when's the last time any of you nits called with an overpair when someone jammed 200 bbs on a board with a paired Broadway card?
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 03:55 AM
You really are better off to pull this bluff when the top card OTF pairs OTT. You'll get less credit for flopping trips than turning them....
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 04:09 AM
If you actually had a 10 would you raise turn?
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 04:11 AM
No, but if he had a T and made his trips OTT, he would, and that's all that matters.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 04:20 AM
Why? If the board was 2610 with a T turn and betting was the same, why would you ever raise the turn with a T or a boat?

You have 80% of a pot sized left after calling 325 OTT. You are going to flat here 100% of the time to get him to jam his overpairs and keep in his bluffs.

For that reason (and the fact we don't know if this guy will even fold AA) we should never be bluffing here.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 04:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yoyobo
Why?
Because he would raise a T here, so when you raise your "T", that's what he will put you on.

Nor did I say this would always work, I just said OP would be better off if he tried this when the top cards pairs OTT. That being said, I expect it will work often enough against tight players to show a profit, if you are careful of raise and stack sizes (As in, you are probably right here, hero doesn't have enough left to make this work).
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 04:37 AM
This would be the exact time when stack sizes don't make sense for it tho. 2.2k + deep and I can understand the discussion. With us only having $1500 it would make no sense at all.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 07:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by philepistemer
Sime really tight players love making big folds and others feel like they spent so long waiting for AA that you'll never get him to fold it. If he's a folder, I'd call turn and jam any river lower than a Q, since I want the pot to be as big as possible before i blow him off his hand. Some people think this "never works," but those people don't have los huevos to try it, and when's the last time any of you nits called with an overpair when someone jammed 200 bbs on a board with a paired Broadway card?
absolutely true. hero just herofolded QQ on that board vs 2 cbets, after all
itīs a bit of a crux of llnlh that everytime a thread is about bluffing, general consensus seems "they never fold anyway", and if itīs about value, "bet smaller, we donīt want to valueown, we donīt want to lose him etc"

canīt have it both ways.
2p2 are not the only ones who take the b/f approach. if the thread was reversed, and hero got raised with AA on that board, most responses would be "snap fold".

that said, why exactly do we need to bluff ott now? we got enough equity to call imo.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote
12-25-2015 , 02:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sewktbk
If you know you're against a player who cannot fold AA/KK, then don't try to make him fold AA/KK.

In addition, if you had a T or 22/66, you'd likely not be raising OTT in position. Always remember to tell a story that makes sense when considering a bluff. In this case, I think a bluff would only make sense OTR if you were against the right player. It would be a more expensive bluff, but that is mitigated by the fact it is likely to work more often.
Why not raising the turn if we had a T or 22/66. I will raise the turn because I want to put more money in the pot and I don't want any scare card come to the river that slow down the action. The time I don't raise the turn if villian has lot of bluff in his range.

Quote:
Originally Posted by PFunkaliscious
if you are going to make that move you are going to have to have a rock solid image in the eyes of the villian, and your villian has to be prone to fold in big pots.

it rarely works.

and it is best to make that move earlier in the pot when your V can fold his hand before he has too much invested in the pot.

the only time big bluffs work is when you are rebluffing a bluffer
Agree. So I think bluffing the turn is better than calling turn bluff river.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sewktbk
You're never getting V to fold on a TT2 fol when he's holding KK/AA.
Agree. So we can actually raising with T on TT2 for value if we do have a T.

Quote:
Originally Posted by philepistemer
Sime really tight players love making big folds and others feel like they spent so long waiting for AA that you'll never get him to fold it. If he's a folder, I'd call turn and jam any river lower than a Q, since I want the pot to be as big as possible before i blow him off his hand. Some people think this "never works," but those people don't have los huevos to try it, and when's the last time any of you nits called with an overpair when someone jammed 200 bbs on a board with a paired Broadway card?
Call turn and jam river is an option but the problem is Villain is less likely to fold after he put so much money in the pot and the pot is so big. I think bluff on the turn is better option?

Quote:
Originally Posted by yoyobo
If you actually had a 10 would you raise turn?
Yes, want to put more money in the pot and I don't want any bad river card that scare Villain.

Quote:
Originally Posted by sauhund
absolutely true. hero just herofolded QQ on that board vs 2 cbets, after all
itīs a bit of a crux of llnlh that everytime a thread is about bluffing, general consensus seems "they never fold anyway", and if itīs about value, "bet smaller, we donīt want to valueown, we donīt want to lose him etc"

canīt have it both ways.
2p2 are not the only ones who take the b/f approach. if the thread was reversed, and hero got raised with AA on that board, most responses would be "snap fold".

that said, why exactly do we need to bluff ott now? we got enough equity to call imo.
Villain only 3bet JJ+ AK. The only hand we beat is JJ and AK. I don't think Villain will 2barrel with AK especially the bet sizing on the turn look so strong. If Villain has lot of bluff in his range ofc we should call the turn.
/5 live cash turn QQ into a bluff? Quote

      
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