A rec player with a flush isn't raising turn much, with the exception being a very small flush, he's also basically never raising a FH.
River bet is YUGE in real $. Rec players tend to value bet rivers smaller. If he had a small flush he'd probably check back for fear that we have a bigger flush
I'd expect V to show up with exactly JxBIG
pretty much always when he has a value hand
The read that he wants to Dwan everyone also favors that he has nothing, or nothing with any real showdown value, like a middling pair