Results...
I shoved turn (only had like $150 behind so calling didn't seem to do anything) villain snap called.
River was 9
Villain Q
Q
I would assume he thought I was on a draw or pair + draw hand and he was trying to crush me off it on the turn.
The K8 Hand
Since several people asked here is the HH on this hand. I might not have exact $ amounts but should be close.
Villain and Hero are both $1k+ deep
Pre-Flop
3 limps
Hero completes from small blind K
8
- no real interest in raising or even playing this hand probably unless I crush the flop (note this changed later lol)
Villain raises to $25 from BB
1 Limper (super fit or fold old man nitty) calls
Hero calls (I am now happy to play K8s completing action preflop against said villain let's see what happens deep, planning on being pretty fit or fold, note how my plan keeps changing haha)
Flop - $85 - A
8
3
Hero checks (was with 100% of my range here)
Villain checks (somewhat surprising he was cbetting 50-75% freq)
Old man nit checks
Turn - 4
Hero checks
Villain bets $40
Old man nit folds
Hero raises to $115
Villain calls
I felt on the turn there was a really good chance I was good but was also almost positive villain was going to bet every turn card.
Old man nit was still in the hand and he could easily have a sticky ace which is why I didn't lead.
Once villain bet $40 (weakish bet compared to other spots) seemed like a good spot to C/R. I am ahead a lot, take down the pot against a lot of unpaired broadway type hands, and feel I can set up the river to bluff if he has any non set pair.
River - $310 - 4
completing the flush
Hero leads for $175
Villain tank calls with 99 to win
My plan on turn was to barrel most rivers. With villain's tendencies I felt he would bet an A 100% of the time on the flop (maybe check AA, but preflop he would have sized bigger), so thought really good chance he was on 99-JJ and maybe 8x. Felt like I had a lot more flushes and Ax A4 A3 type hands in my range so seemed like a good spot to bluff 2 barrels after the flop checked around to push out hands that had my K8 slightly beat.
I was wrong and lost. It happens lol...