Quote:
Originally Posted by djoyce003
pretty sick spot. I think if you bet here, it has to be with the intention of bet folding. In that case, I fold. I probably would have c/c and let him bluff the busted draw. I think he bets with more hands you beat than he calls with. At live tables you don't see a lot of river bluffs. I'm guessing he got lucky with the jack OTR.
Also, since there's a draw out there on the turn, I think I would have fired another barrel.
Agreed, especially after you checked the turn, he is going to bluff busted draws as well as potentially valuebet some worse kings if you check to him again on the river.
It feels like hes maybe bluffing because you checked such an innocuous turn card, but im not convinced enough to make a call there.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Czech Rays
Obv. he is heavily weighted towards a Jack here based on how the hands has played out. If he was antsy about his draw, he would probably have bet the turn when checked to.
Is he though. IDK, what hand with a jack causes a TAGish player to insta-flat the flop with Middle pair. A guess AJ works, though flatting there with AJ is kind of a suspect play IMO.
idk, the more i think about this hand, the more i like a call, but i probably still wouldn't make it.
Last edited by AEPpoker-deux; 07-19-2012 at 04:32 PM.