Hi guys, I'll try to answer some of the questions/observations. If anyone is so motivated, some of the concerns have been brought up before in my first thread a few years back:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/17...-1-2-a-920294/
That said...
Olaff:
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Have you considered moving up? As you were amassing this roll, along the way have you experiencing feelings of ambition to compete higher?
I'll be honest, I'm still a bad poker player. Horrible. But moving up was always the intent, and I felt playing a tilt-free, simple, mechanical strategy would give me the best opportunity to do so. However, what works in theory stumbles in the real-real world. Vegas was a shock. I was expecting loose, aggro play at 2-5 and 5-10 with 10x raises multiway, and money splashing everywhere.
What I found was nitty poker. Undoubtedly if one looked hard enough, a good game could be found, but even traveling from poker room to poker room and getting on a table took an inordinate amount of time. Whereas in my city, I'm a hop, skip and a jump from place to place. I read a post by Aesahi, that confirmed my impressions. There simply aren't a lot of big games anywhere in the world that play on a regular basis. Less so a selection of maniac players with deep pockets, low rakes, and multiple venues catering to them.
Vernon: Bingo!
Richard:
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God, please don't ruin the game at its current condition.
No fears there. I've patiently explained the approach to a number of friends who were going through a tough run and needed money. They all failed miserably. I've discovered people play more for emotional needs, than rational ones. Remember that rat that had orgasms wired into his head? He had a choice between two buttons: pleasure or food.
He died of starvation. We're no different.
Gobbledy:
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Seems to me this transition period of moving between rooms, waiting for a table, gas money, etc. should almost be factored into your hourly winrate to bring it down way more...
Yeah, its a valid observation. In Vegas, it took over an hour to get on a new table ... on average. I was new to the city, so I think the logistics could be improved, but it's an important factor. Its also one I feel is underplayed a little regarding "success" at a strategy. The actual poker strategy itself played a very minor role, I believe, overall. It's all those factors that trump playing x-hand from y-position with z-buy in that probably determine results. Do you have access to soft games? How quickly can you get to them? Are you playing for emotional or financial needs (I've found the two to be mutually exclusive).
Stuff like that.
Barry Greenstein once mentioned that most of the money won or lost in a live game results from tilt. Shortstacking does a great job of curbing that.
Avarita:
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I don't see how it is possible to only have a 5 bi downswing over 2K hours with a SS strategy.
We'll revist that. I have a few questions myself regarding variance that I hope some may help me with. Perhaps a new thread on this might be the way to go.
Eldiesel: Actually, I'd say $50/hr is what a good 1-2 player can make, deep stacked, in my games. The top 2-5 players are pulling in between $80-$100/hr in their games over sample sizes of 1000-2000 hours. Again, my games play twice as large... and looser... than what's common.
Dave: lol!
Fun:
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If you live where I think you live driving from room to room in the winter must be brutual.
Oh, it's a real treat. I assure you of that. Particularly in my clunker with balding all season tires. And a defroster that decides not to work once we hit -20...
Buster:
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The strategy that OP linked to in his post is particularly aimed at 20BBs, whatever that may be, so $40 at 1-2, $100 at 2-5 ...
Yes and no.
If you look at the stack to pot ratios, you'll find that a 20 bb game with 4 bb raises plays the same as a 50 bb game with 10 bb raises. The stack to pot ration is the same postflop, so you are very much "shorting" the game with $100 buy in.
Ph:
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"... except that the way the games play is a lot more important than how many big blinds deep you are. From my experience, it isn't uncommon to have multiple players straddling or people raising to $15-25 and getting multiple callers. These things change the optimal buy-in amount for a SSS."
To add to this, once you stick more than 10% of your stack in preflop, you are playing a short stack game ... regardless of how deep you may be playing. At which point you've crushed all the speculative hands, and can ship with top pair. I refer to PNL by Ed Miller and Co for further elucidations on this matter.
I've played "short" with 500 big blinds.
Easy game.
All the best,
Flux