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2 pair on wet board, 1/2 2 pair on wet board, 1/2

02-08-2015 , 12:20 AM
UTG+2 bets 10. Hero calls with 5s6s. Villain calls from CO. Pot ~30
Flop 456 rainbow.
UTG+2 checks, hero checks, villain bets 20, UTG+2 fold, hero calls.
Effective stacks ~220.
Its a pretty big casino, and i have played with this villain a couple of times. So he is a kind of regular. 50+, fishy whale type. I have seen him call all in shoves with flush draws plus gutshot and hit flush on river against obvious strt for ~700 pots. So he is like a calling station type and u can't force him out if he catches a piece of flop.
My read on him was he is in some sort of draw. He doesnt have a strt or set right now and i m pretty confident abt my read. But the problem is i can,t force him out unless we go all in ( which will be missing ton of value ) and i dont want to bloat the pot now because with favorable turn and river cards i will be able to squeeze enough value out of him. So i check/call on flop.
Turn is Ar. I check, he bets 30. I call. Thought abt raising then realised he is not going anywhere. So just called for pot control.
River is a 2. Now i m pretty sure i m beat. He bets 50, i tank call. He flips over 63.
So if i knew his exact hands how should i play? Lets discard All in on flop, its losing too much value. Should i be controlling pot or inflating pot ? Or am i playing result oriented and scared money ? Yes i hate variance.
2 pair on wet board, 1/2 Quote
02-08-2015 , 12:35 AM
1st.. I fold pre
2nd.. I wouldn't mind c/c if and ONLY if you really trust your read on V. With no reads, raise.
3rd.. You have to raise here. $100 minimum. You're giving him a free pass by not raising him here. Very weak imo.
4th... If you knew you were beat, and had him on a pretty narrow range, why did you call? Was there any bluffs in his range there?

I think you played this pretty bad and scared. If you hate variance, don't play sc in middle pos. to UTG raisers. Simple as that really.
2 pair on wet board, 1/2 Quote
02-08-2015 , 12:49 AM
Very marginal call pre. Check/raise the flop and bet the turn. This is the best opponent to value bet. You don't want them going anywhere.

Be more aggressive. You can only win by a showdown with passive play.
2 pair on wet board, 1/2 Quote
02-08-2015 , 01:01 AM
Fold pre. Bet flop. As played call river.

If you knew his cards and if you knew he would call a shove, I would shove flop and get him to commit with ~32% equity before he misses turn or river.
2 pair on wet board, 1/2 Quote
02-08-2015 , 01:18 AM
bet flop, bet turn, check decide river.

if you did check flop it should be w/ the intention of check/raising, then bombing the turn. your hand is to strong to just be calling two streets against a whale. Your way ahead of his range and this type of player wont fold any draw, over pair or Ax. Make him pay to get to the river.
2 pair on wet board, 1/2 Quote

      
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