Quote:
Originally Posted by Dirty313
this raising on this board would be terrible
not a good flop but you are ahead of his range and have a lot of ways to beat 2 pair
If we call to reevaluate the turn, then we are at the mercy of the LPPs bet sizing decision on the turn. If we flat he might think AK KJ and KT hands we beat are ahead and bet more than 65. If we min raise he'll likely flat these hands and check the turn. Thus we set the price when we are ahead. If He 3bets us OTF we can easily fold. If he flats our FR and leads the turn I think folding is safe. He is likely making sure the board doesn't flush by flatting the FR. In any case we get the same info for less. Unless of course we are planning to flat the flop and fold any turn lead. that would be atrocious.
If he flats our FR and checks the turn, I'm checking for pot control and to induce a call from AK KJ KT OTR. If we check behind the turn and he leads the river when we can call any non J or T river otherwise folding. If he checks the River, then i bet for value on a non J or T and check behind if the River is a J or T.
I would also like to see how you range this villain, that makes you think were ahead. I estimate us to have 40% against the following range:
AK, KJ, KT, KQ, K9, Q9, KK, QQ, 99, JT, A9ss, AJss, ATss, T9ss, J9ss.
I don't think passive players lead K8 or less into 3 others. If this villain will its much closer to us being ahead, IF you give him any KXss.