Quote:
Originally Posted by Logidra
This is an easy fold. It's an eight way pot with a draw heavy board and you only have $35 committed. Set guy most likely isn't folding here, straight guy is never folding here and Ad5d/Ad6d/Ad8d likes his hand a lot and can't wait to shove/call. Your supposed outs might not be any good here in this eight way pot and anyone that calls you has you beat already. If this were a heads up situation and you had two overs and a flush draw then aggression would be warranted. I'd fold this $35 hand and watch the other seven people have at it. You can find better spots.
What part of the action implies that we are against a set, a straight, and the nut flush draw? Yeah, someone led into the PF raiser in a rather large multi-way pot. That is strong, no doubt, but to be putting everyone else on the nuts here is not accurate IMO. I have seen players lead in this spot with A9, TT, etc...
The idea that we should fold because "we only have $35 invested" is bad. What we should be thinking is that we almost always have good/great equity in this spot.
With that said I don't really love any of our options (I think folding is the worst). I think our FE is low in this spot. Any additional info on Villain would be nice here. Like if he would raise 55-99 pre-flop here, in addition to his donking range. You say that he is a "TAG reg". That doesn't give us much info TBH. Tight aggressive players usually raise 77 and 99 pre-flop. And they also don't usually limp/call hands like 97 and 86. OP, can you construct a donking range for Villain?