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2/5 Weird run out 2/5 Weird run out

03-25-2019 , 11:06 AM
2/5 NL (9 handed)

Hero (1k) EP raises AsQd 20. Fish HJ (800) calls, BT calls.

Flop (65): KcJdTd. Hero bets 50, fish calls, bt folds.
Turn (165): 9d. Hero bets 105, fish calls.
River (375): Qc. Hero....

Fish has been up about 24 hours. Is generally the loose type preflop and generally not super aggressive, but did get AQo all in preflop for 120bbs against my UTG open and 3bet earlier in the session. He may view me as out of line, although I don't believe there's cause for it. Been pretty snug this session, but I am stuck.

Flop bet could arguably be an overbet, as I suspect their ranges are pretty inelastic on this type of flop, but went with 50 in the moment.

Turn is still a clear value bet for me. Looking to get straights, two pair+Kd flush draw, and just Ad+pair to come along.

River is where I'm a little torn on. Feel like there's still value to be had here against someone who thinks we are chopping, but interested in sizing views or other options.

Thanks
2/5 Weird run out Quote
03-25-2019 , 11:16 AM
Flop bet is fine I think.

River I think we can check, would consider jamming with the Ad but Qd doesn't block enough flushes imo. A fish isn't folding an ace, and may actually stuff it on you if he has the Ad himself. Not much to be gained from betting here imo, a fish isn't going to be excited to call a bet and play the board, especially if a single ace is enough to get scooped.
2/5 Weird run out Quote
03-25-2019 , 11:23 AM
I’d rather give the fish a chance to steal the pot and bluff catch. You never have a worse hand than the nut straight when you go b/b/b so he would have to be exceptionally bad to pay you off. I think his calling threshold is much lower than his bluffing threshold so you win considerably more bluff catching.
2/5 Weird run out Quote

      
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