Villain history: he calls two large bets in a raised pot, than folds to a large river bet versus the loose/slightly aggressive player and showed top pair, and another hand where he flatted 55 on Q
7
5
than raised the turn in an unraised pot. 30-35ish
Tight player limps UTG, 2 loose players limp to me on the button, I overlimp Q
9
, sb and bb limp.
6 players, $30 in the pot
Flop ($30): Q
J
8
Checks to me on the button, I bet $20, BB (villain) flats, everyone else folds
Turn ($70): 5
He looks like he wants to bet, but possibly a faked tell - turn hits and he quickly looks at his chips, then checks. I check back
River ($70): Q
He bets $40
Pre, I raise some % of the time, but with tight player limping in EP overlimping is better I believe. Without him I definitely open it over the loose players.
Flop/turn seem pretty standard. On the river, raising seems clearly out. Folding seems pretty weak, since he was the BB and can have more weak Qs, so it feels like we should call? What if he bet $60 on the river instead?