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[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player [2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player

08-30-2017 , 08:26 PM
Yes smokingrobot but by check we allow V to play perfect against us because he can also check back hands we are beating but have decent equity.

The point in this specific hand shove like I advised earlier was best play even though V ended up winning


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[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote
08-30-2017 , 08:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smokingrobot
So if im understanding this argument that hero should be bet/shoving turn here, does it not follow that every time hero checks, he has < than TP & Villain can just easily bet their entire range?
We don't just have top pair here / we have TPTK + gutshot. We have plenty of worse aces which we can check call, and some more nut hands we can check/raise, plus some high equity draws and pair+draw hands we can check/raise.

I think our hand is too good to check because we're afraid of being beat, in that it is ahead of a lot of villains range that gets to the turn, unless villain folds flop a lot - and he doesn't. And it is too vulnerable to check to slowplay, because it isn't strong enough to check/raise and villain has a lot of good equity hands he can check back on the turn.
[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote
08-30-2017 , 09:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tomark
If hero always has TP+ here, then Vs TP is basically dead, not a bluffcatcher. V is looking at 9-12 outs going into the river. To call $145 with 12 outs you need to win $555. Pot has $375, so you need $180 in equity. (but you sctually need more since 3 of the outs arent always good)

So basically if V will call a river bet at least ~50-60% when you hit, you call, if he wont, you raise turn because he will likely fold to a turn raise giving you FE. Depends on reads as to whether this is a good bluff.

Considering hero ended up calling with one pair, the bluff was a bad read, but id certainly play Ad6d like this at least sometimes.

As i said, seems like V is draw heavy on turn, I say this because I expect strong players to bluff their draws a lot on the turn. Hero's results didnt say whether he called or shipped, but a call is pretty terrrible exactly because it pot committed you which lets V play his entire range perfectly against you on river.
I think AV meant repping ax+ not literally always has it
[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote
08-31-2017 , 12:01 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tomark
Like i say, id say IO from the flush and FE from a turn bluff are basically inversely related, so either you dont have FE (because they will call with 1 pair) or you dont have IO (because they will fold one pair). as it turned out they didnt have FE so they chose poorly.

I also thought it was a bluff, because this is what id expect a strong reg to do against hero described. I fully expected hero's results to just be that he folded. I agree that it is somewhat unlikely to be for value here, but thats why your banking on your V to be either a first level thinker, or simpky too scared to stack off with one pair.

There are certain bluffs that I do that i basically refer to as "bare power poker". It represents nothing, but it doesnt matter because it has enough FE to be EV+. The most common situation is on a missed draw on the river. Any halfway decent player knows youre repping a missed draw, but the V in question will just fold his weak holdings instead of bluffcatching.

Look how many posters suggested a fold. This is one of those times where reasonably good players will simply misread Vs range and fold strong hands. This is actually a great hand from a handreading perspective, because jamming seemed super clear to me.
I understand what you're saying, and I was one of the people that said to fold. The biggest game that runs in my local card rooms is 3/5 so I don't have any experience with people dropping down. So while it's easy to understand what someone means when they describe a passive fish, I don't really know what a LAG reg that plays as high as 10/25 means or if you can even really stereotype them. So just as a standard line folding seems better unless you have reason to believe that the other player is a manic or is somehow capable of doing this folding seems pretty clear even though it doesn't make sense. I see people play hands passively pre flop or on the flop far more than suddenly getting mindlessly aggressive.

With regard to IO, because there are so many actual draws on this board you always have IO in effect because there are obvious bluff cards. This isn't a situation where the hero can just c/f when a draw hits the river or where the V should have no river bluff range. You can realize the equity of the draw both from calls when you hit or bluffs when you miss, if hero over/under calls on the river respectively. I'm not sure I'm articulating this well but if the V's equity in the hand is FE+IO. I'm saying the V should have more FE on the river than the turn so the sum is larger by calling. So even if V wants to play power poker, I just think this is a terrible hand/situation to do it.
[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote
08-31-2017 , 01:31 AM
I think all turn decisions are very close either way. That's why there are so many conflicting arguments.
[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote
08-31-2017 , 04:21 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by smokingrobot
So if im understanding this argument that hero should be bet/shoving turn here, does it not follow that every time hero checks, he has < than TP & Villain can just easily bet their entire range?
I am betting 100% of my range here. What from heros range should he be betting flop checking turn?

Quote:
Originally Posted by SynZen
I understand what you're saying, and I was one of the people that said to fold. The biggest game that runs in my local card rooms is 3/5 so I don't have any experience with people dropping down. So while it's easy to understand what someone means when they describe a passive fish, I don't really know what a LAG reg that plays as high as 10/25 means or if you can even really stereotype them. So just as a standard line folding seems better unless you have reason to believe that the other player is a manic or is somehow capable of doing this folding seems pretty clear even though it doesn't make sense. I see people play hands passively pre flop or on the flop far more than suddenly getting mindlessly aggressive.

With regard to IO, because there are so many actual draws on this board you always have IO in effect because there are obvious bluff cards. This isn't a situation where the hero can just c/f when a draw hits the river or where the V should have no river bluff range. You can realize the equity of the draw both from calls when you hit or bluffs when you miss, if hero over/under calls on the river respectively. I'm not sure I'm articulating this well but if the V's equity in the hand is FE+IO. I'm saying the V should have more FE on the river than the turn so the sum is larger by calling. So even if V wants to play power poker, I just think this is a terrible hand/situation to do it.
I mean, I make moves like this one all the time, and im new to the stakes, not a 10/25 player. Strong players make strong fearless plays, and this was exactly that. I put him exactly on the type of hand he has because i recognize the move, and this move absolutely crushes the "standard line". Playing standard poker makes you a standard player and while standard lines are great aginst weak players, they are often exploited by strong players.

I understand what youre saying in the second paragraph, basically if he calls turn he can rep a club on the river. Thats true, but ill also note that if a river bluff is EV+, a turn bluff likely is going to get you the same FE. Im not saying that Vs turn raise was the best possible move to do every time, im saying that a typical V only calls, and raising is not a dumb move by any means and is dependent upon your opponent. I personally probably wouldve called because of my FD being concealed because its a BDFD, but if i had the front door id probably be considering a turn raise. Good post.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Tiltyjoker
I think all turn decisions are very close either way. That's why there are so many conflicting arguments.
Agreed.
[2/5] TPTK gets raised on turn by strong player Quote

      
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