Quote:
Originally Posted by kookiemonster
I think a 1/2PSB is going to be a significant dog when called. Did you try constructing a range for him and then figuring out what kind of hands we need to get called by for this to be a profitable value bet?
I'm betting smaller or check/evaluating based on sizing/timing/lollivetells. A true calling station is never bluff raising us with a worse hand so this would seem to be the ideal spot for a silly small value bet: maximum $100. Can't we get away with like $75 here?
I'm not really a math guy. Yes, I could exploitatively bet smaller as he's not good enough to identify it's weak, but given the flush draw missed, I kind of didn't want to take the risk of getting bluffraised. I was counting on small pairs, 5x, etc. to station me as I can never put him on Qx here with the flop flat. And if I'm check/calling (which I very well would), I'd rather bet myself. Maybe I'm going too thin in these spots.
