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/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise /5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise

03-21-2016 , 11:49 PM
H1 $2/5

V is a loose rec player, sizing tells, likes to make blocker/sweetener raises pf. Tries to play LAG sometimes but he wimps out when the big bets come out. Scared of getting outdrawn and will bet big for protection (and turn his hand faceup). Capable of good folds.

H is a winning nit/TAG. Respected by V.

V ($300) opens UTG $10, 3 abc rec players call (w. $300-500 stacks), hero 3! A3o OTB to $60...
.................................................. ........................

H2

V is a winning TAG. Tons of bet/folding, almost never hero calls. Makes cheap stabs at pots, but I have never seen him make any big moves. Possibly double barrels but I doubt he will ever 3X barrel bluff. A solid player that doesn't spew, but is a tad nitty and misses some thin value and good bluffing opportunities. PF raising range on the tight size for a TAG.

Hero has a TAG image. I never show bluffs when he is at the table.

V ($800) opens UTG $20, two rec players on the fishy side call ($500ish stacks) in MP, hero (covers) calls OTB QT

($80) Flop: AJ2

V bets $50, fish fold, hero calls

($180) Turn: 6

V bets $120, hero raises to $350...

*How's my sizing? Plan for various river cards if he calls?
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 12:11 AM
H1: I don't like to squeeze vs UTG raises but I assume you did it because of his sizing. I would have 3bet it much bigger...like $75.

H2: I don't recommend playing this way vs a winning TAG, especially when he raised UTG and cbet this flop oop into 3 other players, and barreled that turn with those bet sizes. Your raise size is fine though. That's enough to credibly rep the flush. I'd shut down if called.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 12:40 AM
H1 seems okay if you're willing to fire a bullet on the flop. I love scooping up dead money and think it's a significant portion of my winnings so well done on choosing the spot/blocker.

H2 preflop call is fine though I am probably just folding to the flop bet. I like the turn raise in isolation but when I float I like to have more equity than 3-4 actual outs plus the bluff flush outs. Something like overs + OESD/gutter on a 2-flush board gives a lot of actual equity + bluff equity.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 01:13 AM
H1 - The line is ok but choosing this hand to do it with isnt. Find something that has better equity and IO against a loose rec players UTG open and try to do it when he's deeper as well. Your FE is so high on Axx flops that you're rarely making money post when you actually make top pair anyway..and he may never be folding enough the rest of the time which renders you PF play as a one street bluff against rec players who tend to call too much.

H2 - Good PF. Good call on flop w BDFD+gutter on a board that favors his range pretty heavily particularly when you're holding the hand you have. I'm folding at a super high frequency on the turn facing a bet on the heart assuming he's a good player. I get he has a bet-f strat but doing so on a third heart at this size would surprise me and I'd categorize him differently after a bet-f here with SPR shrunken pretty low. Youre repping flushes only for value here as you shouldn't have any sets and most 2p hands wouldn't raise turn this big, at least at any reasonable frequency. Sure, you're making it tough for him to continue with 1p hands, but you're also going to be holding air otr way too often if he bet-c here all to often with a pretty bad stack size behind to bet again It's just not worth it with a potential 0% hand in turn raising range that should have enough hands in it that have something to fall back on.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 01:37 AM
Hand 1 - don't think it that's great a spot that we can be raising A3o here.

I would much rather you 3 bet a hand with decent equity against villains calling range. Hands like AJ-ATs, KQs, A5s-A2s

Hand 2 - I think is very good if Villian is going to use baluga theorem and fold AK-AQ. I like the raise on the turn more then on the flop because Villian will put you on the flush draw on the flop because you can't have AA as you didn't 3 bet pre and JJ unlikely as well as its better to 3 bet with the two fish in the hand IMO.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 01:53 AM
H1: Meh, I find a lot of times the first guy has like 88 or something stupid and everyone else calls because now they're priced in. If you're so confident that they're capped that you're going to polarize your range this much, I'd rather make it like 10x. For this sizing, I'd be more linear.

H2: I don't like this against someone who doesn't vbet thin. I expect him to mostly have hands that continue to our raise, and these hands are pretty balanced between hands that are scared by a blank and ones that are scared by a paired board.

We should also have some heart blockers in our range for overcalling pre and calling the flop, so I wouldn't be going out of my way to find combos to make this questionable play on a board that's awesome for the PFR.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 01:57 AM
Amanaplan & Kyle, yah this hand (H1) isn't ideal but that's poker. We often have to make judgment calls on borderline hands. OP said villain has sizing tells so a $10 open is probably something like 87s, JQo, etc. The players calling behind is confirmation of their capped ranges (mid PP's, SC's, etc). We should be raising ATC here - the fact we have an A blocker is plenty of fall-back equity in the unlikely event we get called and stationed on A/K/Q high flops by 77 or something.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 02:12 AM
Just to clarify my read on V in H2:

He is not creative with sizing and I think he might just auto value bet 2/3 pot. I haven't seen him taking bet, check/call lines. I think he can very well be betting his entire range of AJ,AQ,AK,AA,JJ, KQhh irregardless of a big heart in his hand or not.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 05:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Amanaplan & Kyle, yah this hand (H1) isn't ideal but that's poker. We often have to make judgment calls on borderline hands. OP said villain has sizing tells so a $10 open is probably something like 87s, JQo, etc. The players calling behind is confirmation of their capped ranges (mid PP's, SC's, etc). We should be raising ATC here - the fact we have an A blocker is plenty of fall-back equity in the unlikely event we get called and stationed on A/K/Q high flops by 77 or something.
I know it's a min raise but you are saying its profitable to raise ATC against an UTG open and 3 callers?

Theirs just no way. Just because you picked up the sizing tell doesn't mean the callers did. They might have hands like AQ-ATs, suited Broadway's, mid pairs.

All hands they wouldn't feel confident 3 betting.

I mean I could get on board if their was 1 caller but 3 there's just no way this is profitable. You are getting called way too much.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote
03-22-2016 , 06:16 PM
Hand 1 seems fine given the sizing reads, as long as you're fairly confident that the callers in-between aren't the type to call the 3-bet. Think we can 3-bet very wide here until someone catches on to us.

Like Hand 2 a lot, we should definitely be bluffing hearts vs. this V after calling flop. If V calls, I'm shutting down on almost all rivers if called. Don't think we have much FE after V puts in half his stack.
/5 A squeeze and a float/bluff raise Quote

      
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