Quote:
Originally Posted by Corto Montez
As a general rule of thumb, in a multi-way pot at LLSNL, bluffing/semi-bluffing on a t-hi board is burning money, since most combos of Tx (T6o+, Txs) will be played by a loose-passive player, which appear to be the two players behind us.
While technically I do agree that it's possible T6 might be played in a raised pot here.
Sure anything is possible at 2/5. But if T6 is in their range here, then there is about 125 other hands in their range also.
So while we can consider it, it just doesn't make a difference as it should all even out.
Also, T6 (even though it's lol unlikely to be honest) it the exact same thing here at KT, you do realize that right? We have the the exact same 15 outs vs both hands. Same as with any 6, any T any PP that isn't 44/66/TT.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Corto Montez
However, we can make a ridiculously small bet of about $30 as a blocker, since many Vs will blast the pot with TP when a flush draw is on the board, but won't raise if bet into. It is also likely to be called by GSSDs and worse FDs, which are likely not going to bluff OTR if they miss if they are as fit/fold as you described.
I do think that making a blocking bet here could be good.
But make sure that you give your self the right odds to hit your draw with your bet if you do.
The other option is to overbet the pot and try to push people off their hands. Like 1.5x the pot. But to be honest, I think both are worse than just check/decide.
We checked the flop and gave up the initiative. After that we just have to hope to get there for cheap. I would check, hope that someone makes a small bet, or that someone bets, and we get a few callers.
If the person that bets is pretty weak we can consider a check/raise (or ship) depending on if we think we can move them off their 1p hand. But that's more V dependent and who calls in between.