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2/5 river decision vs unknown gambly looking type

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11-16-2017 , 07:16 PM

Jarretman

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,937

Villain is young Asian kid like early 20s with a baseball cap pierced earrings and some bling. He buys in for one $500 chip and three $25 chips. He immediately starts violently shuffling those chips. His first hand he limp/call EP and x/r/folds a low board. This is the next hand.

Hero opens 20 in HJ with KdJh, villain is only caller in BB.

Flop (42): AdKc4d

v checks, hero checks

Turn (42): 6d

v checks, hero bets 20, villain raises to $110, hero calls

River (262): 6s

V jams for 225, hero?

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11-16-2017 , 07:41 PM

CWsports

old hand

Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 1,644

Since you have the Kd I would normally check back the turn. I would then call pretty much all rivers. If V checks the river then I would bet and try to get a crying call from hands like 77-TT.

On the river are you thinking about shoving the river since you have the nut flush blocker? I agree that there’s not many hands V could have here that could call a shove (I’d expect him to 3b AA, KK, and AK pre) but your line wouldn’t make much sense. Also, if V has any A then the K kicker on the board plays so he might be a little sticky.

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11-16-2017 , 07:44 PM

iraisetoomuch

banned

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 37,486

For some reason I thought we had a flush.

It's probably a fold.

Last edited by iraisetoomuch; 11-16-2017 at 07:53 PM.

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11-16-2017 , 07:44 PM

luvthegame

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 389

Fold. I know you are convinced he is bluffing and he might be, but I doubt he is bluffing more than 50% of the time and he has Ax through out his range, maybe more so since he checked flop and turn. He also has Kx and a few 6x hands as well. Gotta fold here.

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11-16-2017 , 10:49 PM

QuadJ

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 6,237

Look like a fold unless you are entirely convinced he is bluffing. A lot got there and some of his AX bluffs beat you anyways.

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11-16-2017 , 11:36 PM

ChrisV

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 40,336

Quote:

Originally Posted by luvthegame

I'm folding as well, though I think it's close. Want to note though that the breakeven point is when he's bluffing 31.6% of the time (252/(252+252+262)), we don't need him to be bluffing 50%.

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11-17-2017 , 02:01 AM

icedcoffee45

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 19

Depends how much you think he is bluffing?
Because you have the K of diamonds. Thats less semi bluffing he can be doing.
If there is less semi bluffs in his range then he has more made hands. I assume villian has A6 here.

On that note, i fold as well. better spots coming

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11-17-2017 , 04:20 AM

mustberigged

enthusiast

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 87

Check turn. Way ahead - way behind.

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11-17-2017 , 08:19 AM

Lapidator

LLSNL Frequent Flyer

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 13,762

Meh... Not going to give this guy any credit.

For 45bb, I call.

Expect he's playing > 60% of hands.

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11-17-2017 , 12:08 PM

#10

shorn7

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2007 Posts: 4,495

Quote:

Originally Posted by CWsports

This. Check turn with huge equity and call river.

I don't think villain can fold to a river shove unless he has total air as he has invested most of his stack already.

AP, river seems like a fold since you don't have a ton of info on this guy...Only second hand.

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11-17-2017 , 01:51 PM

#11

BackDoorFlush

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 2,171

As played, call.

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