2/5 - 1k max buy about 1 hour into the session.
V1 - Older guy playing snug, nothing out of line.
V2 - Older guy playing on the looser side, aggressive, has bluffs.
Hero ($850 effective) - MAG nitty image. Has only shown down top pair and overpairs thus far.
OTTH: V2 had been the most active VPIP and PFR at the table but seemed to be able to sense strength and slow down when he's beat. Sitting on about 3k. V1 limps the CO, V2 opens for $20 from the BTN, folds to Hero in BB with AhJh. We call here due to V2s button raising range and frequencies. He had to be around 35/20. Folds around to V1 who calls.
Flop: ($60): Q
J
4
Hero checks, V1 x, V2 $40, V1 folds, Hero calls. Being out of position here I was tempted to raise but I thought middle pair was ahead of much of his range and I didn't have any draws. Didn't want to bloat the pot OOP and if he calls I'm in a pretty bad spot with two streets left to play.
Turn: ($140): Q
J
4
2
Hero checks, V2 bets $70. Somehow Hero isn't sold. He can certainly have Qx or better but I guess I'm deciding to call down light as I would vs a LAG since his numbers are LAGgy even though his barreling and bet sizing is not overly aggressive. Is this call spew vs this player type? Should I be raising or folding turn?
River: ($280): Q
J
4
2
9
Both draws come in and I suddenly get a gut feeling like I need to turn my J into a bluff. Which is weird because if I had felt this far behind OTT I would have folded. But now I feel like my J is no good and both draws just came in. My x/c, x/c line looks like a flush. We expect V2 to check his value behind so Hero leads for $150.
I wish I had planned to bluff river on A, 9, or spades when calling turn but I'll admit I wasn't that savvy. I just didn't want to believe that this guy could open twice per orbit and have top pair+ all the time. When your reads are all over the place it seems better to bet than x/c. Seems really bad to x/f here unless he goes north of 2/3. Thoughts?