Quote:
Originally Posted by shiptopapi
Great info.
I tanked for 2 mins trying to get a read and going through what combos I beat. I only came up with random bluff (possible with this guy) and As hands. I eventually call he shows JhTd. At the table after call I kept thinking I should bet flop, check turn, check call small river bet. I bet turn thinking I am charging both players to hit flush and any draws, value betting any T or JJ hands and will find out if they have a 9 as I would expect a raise. Getting value owned with any K, QJ (unlikely since I have blockers),made flush felt unlikely as only AJs is really in play ok maybe 87s. I still think I was better off folding river no doubt - went for soul read. thanks for replies.
If you don't think villain has many bluffs, then this is not a good call in the long term, but I guess you know that already.
I wanted to check with your alternative line of bet, x/c, x/c. What does this achieve. If you are betting QQs here, I imagine for value and equity denial, what bluffs do you have here to offset this? What other value hands do you do this with that raised pre?
We have the 2nd nut flush draw and the nut flush draw also fits into a good percentage of our range, what merit is there to charge others to draw to a flush? We want them to make their weaker flushes and bet into us. Regarding a straight draw, if you were holding a straight on a monotone board, how do you feel about your hand? Even if you make a straight, don't you believe a straight here is essentially a bluff catcher? Though it certainly is much stronger than QQ and can get value from sets.
As played, I think it is ok to occasionally mix in a bet here with QQs, but our hand performs best as a bluff catcher with some redraw equity. Certainly by the river, the only hand we are beating is AsJ, Asx QTs or T8s. I guess you can make a case that MAYBE if we just fold all our QQ in this situation our opponent can bluff us with all their missed straight draws. If we call all our QQ we are definitely value owning ourselves. So you may make a case that QQs is the only QQ we call in this situation. I don't think this call is that bad, I certainly think we can check call 1 street with Qs if we believe they will barrel with missed straights to balance their boats, but if we only assign them Asx, we absolutely cannot call.