Quote:
Originally Posted by ATsai
No disrespect to you, dgiharris, but your suggestion to lead 50% on flop to "set your own price" is really bad. Just like ******ed bets to "keep the initiative" or to "protect your hand" -- betting flop to "name your price" with a FD is a bad reason for betting.
No its not. THere is a mathematically valid reason for doing so against the described villains. Villains are described as loose, fishy, passive, and stationy. thus, the mathematical reason is simple, when we are on a draw we want to keep our implied odds as high as possible vs villains that don't like to fold if they have "anything". So when we hit we can then charge them.
Similarly, villains like this will likely fold if they completely whiff which is fine as well. So basically, what is the upside of potting the flop? If they whiff they fold anyway right? And if they hit something they are never folding right? And if they hit and are never folding then we don't need to build the pot to maximize value vs a station that is never folding, we can just monkey shove or overbet offensively and they will still call.
I think you are making the common mistake of a one-size-fits-all approach to poker.
Against thinking players or aggros we should play this a different way. but against the villains as described, we should adjust to the description and exploit it. And against stations, when you are drawing, you want to keep your implied odds as high as possible by any means necessary. If c/c'ing will do it, then c/c. If blocking bets will do it, then you blocking bet. Potting flops and betting big on turns vs stations when you are drawing is just lighting money on fire as there is no need to do that for the reasons I gave above...
Quote:
Originally Posted by ATsai
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I would probably bet close to the pot size on the flop with my entire betting range. We don't mind getting called for a pot sized bet because we are going to win the pot often and because we want the pot to be bigger if we are dominating someone else's inferior draw.
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Again, you aren't thinking this through. If a station hits their inferior draw, they are never folding. Thus there is no need to inflate the pot to extract max value. We can monkey shove when we hit and they are never folding when their inferior draw hits because they are stations and stations don't fold.
Hope that makes sense....
Quote:
Originally Posted by stackmemaybe
Wouldnt a small bet be exploitable as we would most likely bet big with the top of our range? Especially that MP2 is a LAG reg. This argument also goes to everyone saying to price ourselves at our own price.
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This is absolutely correct. A small bet would be exploitable but lucky for us, the VAST majority of our villains at this level will not exploit it. Based on OP description, I don't feel to worried about taking an exploitable line since both V's are described as stationy post flop. This is a good situation for us to blocking bet and set our own price.
I think part of the tendency to avoid exploitable lines is because they are exploitable and we can't help but think that our villains think like us. The key to crushing this game is to understand the dynamics and know when you can take obvious lines that maximize value and exploits our villains' tendencies. I know, it always feels strange to me when I take lines like this because a part of me is screaming, "come on, villains can see what you are doing its so obvious...." but the reality is that for the most part, they don't and we subconsciously let our own biases interfere with truly understanding and exploiting our villains.
In this case, against fishy and stationy villains, I'm fine "setting my own price" with blocking bets. Against thinking or aggro players, I'd take a different line.
Last edited by dgiharris; 11-06-2013 at 04:38 PM.