Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ
If villain is really bad enough to call preflop and flop with all but the worst garbage hands and your willing to commit to carrying through with an all-in bluff no matter what, it is an OK play if used very rarely. Against a competent villain you get more folds, but your stuck playing a marginal hand OOP in a bloated pot if he does call. You will have trouble getting worse to call or better to fold, and you will only find out which it is after putting in a large chunk of your stack.
OK let's construct his range. TT-AA, and AJ+ are out as he would 4-bet (and we would fold). Of course this is a bit arbitrary but let's pick the best of his non-premium range and assign his range then as:
99-55,ATs-A9s,KJs+,QJs,ATo,KTo+,QJo
Stove it vs A9s. A9s is at 52%. If we drop Ax combos and 9x combos from there due to blockers then we're even higher (or maybe PokerStove does that automatically, not sure). And that assumes he uses some kind of selection and doesn't just decide to gamble with ATC. So basically even if he calls we're not behind.