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05-12-2014 , 05:02 PM
Villain: mixes his play up. Currently looser and more aggressive after losing a medium sized pot or two. Believe he thinks he knows where he's at more often than he really does. 25-35 years old.

Hand: all fold to cutoff who limps, button (villain) limps. Sb limps. Hero bb (150bb effective) makes it 25 with AQo. Co folds button flats sb folds.

Heads up to flop: AK8sss

Hero leads 35. Button flats. Turn 8x. Hero leads 55. Button flats. River 3x.

Hero?

A) Check
B) Lead for value (how much)

All answers appreciated. Responses with reasoning appreciated. Good luck all.
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05-12-2014 , 05:09 PM
105/fold
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05-12-2014 , 05:19 PM
I like 30-35 pf.

1/2-2/3otf. Same ott, c/c river or b/f river for 1/3-2/3pot
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05-12-2014 , 06:19 PM
We are chopping any ace, are we turning our hand into a bluff to get vill off a chop? Perhaps getting him off smaller flushes? Might be w/t I check river and expect it togo check check a lot.
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05-12-2014 , 08:51 PM
there is a lot of info needed to make the correct play, such as your image and the type of player he is other than he gets aggressive when losing, so assuming he is a standard rec who goes on tilt, I'm not checking the river here letting him polarize it with a king because of his aggression.

I would b/f around 95, enough for him to raise his two pair/sets and call with an ace or king.
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05-12-2014 , 10:45 PM
Why the 1/3 pot turn bet?
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05-12-2014 , 10:49 PM
Betting as a blocker bet to get to showdown. V raises, I'd believe he has a flush or better 2p hand. Probably around half pot.
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05-13-2014 , 02:05 AM
bigger on flop, bigger on turn, c/c river
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05-13-2014 , 02:16 AM
Check call
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05-13-2014 , 07:27 AM
More on the flop. More on the turn. As played bet/fold 125. Check calling is absolutely terrible. If we check and he bets river I would expect to be good almost never. There are a ton of worse aces he can call with that he could have limp/called pre with.
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05-13-2014 , 08:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Donafy
More on the flop. More on the turn. As played bet/fold 125. Check calling is absolutely terrible. If we check and he bets river I would expect to be good almost never. There are a ton of worse aces he can call with that he could have limp/called pre with.
We chop w/ these hands.

I actually think ck/call is better. I expect it to go ck/ck a alot first off. Our hand might play better as a bluff catcher vs busted flush draws. Value betting against Kx specifically seems too thin.

Obviously slow played flushes are in his range, so the question is whether or not he can bluff his busted fds.
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05-13-2014 , 10:09 AM
Oh right I completely missed that. In that case I change my mind. Check/Call is better unless you think you can move him off a chop.
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05-13-2014 , 11:01 AM
Bet an amount you think he could crying call with a Kx hand unless you think he is super bluff-raise happy. Most would not be IMO. I would think that his calling turn range would be more Ax and K/spade hands, than bare one spade hands, so I like the bet vs a possible "chk pick off a bluff" lline.
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05-13-2014 , 11:50 AM
Any somewhat thinking player will put you pretty much on exactly what you have. I like a larger PF raise of at least $30 but oh well.

As played....I like a ch/c line on river. If you bet, he's only calling you down with hands that split the pot with you or beat you (not calling with Kx after you bet into him 3 streets)...other scenario is he raises you and you have no idea where you're at in the hand. Take the safer route by exercising some pot control in spots like these.
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05-13-2014 , 11:55 AM
Just for a side note....you would receive a better analysis from everyone if you put more info in your posts regarding hero's image, more descriptive on V's image, pot sizes, etc...
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