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2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace 2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace

07-02-2010 , 12:13 PM
Effective stacks $1000
9 handed
New player to table UTG +1 raises $40
Folds to me in SB with 9d9s I flat
And we are heads up.
Flop
Tc7c8h
I check
UTG+ 1
bets $85
I raise to $240
UTG+1 Shoves and has 600 behind has me covered
Hero???
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote
07-02-2010 , 12:20 PM
2-5 with a raise to $40?

I would have to put UTG +1 on JJ</A-10s+

Even with his range I would have to call with a chance for a straight or trip draw...but I'm a gambler in these spots!
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote
07-02-2010 , 12:55 PM
You have ~34% equity against villains shoving range that looks something like this:

{77, 88, TT, JJ, QQ, KK, AA, AcKc, AcQc, A10, K10, J10, 109}

obv this is readless, villain dependant you can add / subtract some hands

Little confused how effectives are $1k but when he shoves he only has $600? Is this total or on top of your $240? Anyways assuming its on top of 240:

Pot = $85 + $85 + $240 + $840 = $1250, have to call $600...

As played prob a call if you wanna gamble a lil imo

hopefully my math is right, little tipsy
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote
07-02-2010 , 12:56 PM
Doesn't look like you're getting the right odds. You have to assume that you are beat, at least for now. Best case scenario you are racing against AcKc, although a straight on the turn kills 6 of his outs.

Pot is approx. 1205 (you said at the beginning effective stacks of 1k), you have 800 left, getting 1.5-1 on a call with at least 8 outs (maybe as many as 10), and two shots at it. I think if you check raised more on the flop you are probably committed (which, incidentally, I would recommend, because you give him 2.5 to 1 on a call, and you need to make stronger moves than that imo).

With no reads and only 1.5 to 1 pot odds I think I have to lay it down. Could be a set, 2P, FD w/two overs, or overpair. Overpair feels most likely to me (like villain doesn't want his KK or QQ cracked and wants to prove it), in which case you're priced out. It's close but I say fold.
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote
07-03-2010 , 07:48 AM
fold and wat does 3betting here do? if u think hes the type to laydown an overpair when facing a bet like this then yea i could see it. other then that the 3bet has to be a bad play cuz it basically turns ur hand into a bluff right?
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote
07-03-2010 , 07:52 AM
range is off. Cannot count all combos of JTo AA KK QQ JJ

CR flop is horrible.

c/c flop, c/f turn. If we knew villain could fold overpairs i would c/c turn
and donk flush rivers 80% pot.
2-5 NL improve my line w/ 99? Caesars Palace Quote

      
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