i have been fairly active at the table, although my image hasn't been tarnished yet by failed bluff attempts. villain i'm sure has noticed this, but is unlikely going out of his way to exploit me.

effective stacks: 800

couple limpers, Hero raises to 30 with QQ from HJ, and nitty reg in CO 3b to 105, folds to Hero who calls 75.

i have played a lot w/ this player, he's always to my left, and we know eachothers frequencies pretty well. i assess his range is JJ+, AK. he also pot controls overpairs often via checking back turns. would also expect a check back with overpairs on paired boards. and i have seen him cbet AK unimproved after 3betting and then give up. my plan if i flop a set is to donk lead.

Flop ($220): JTT

Hero checks, villain checks.

Turn ($220): JTT 8

Hero checks, villain bets 125, Hero?

Dont see how this is anything but a call. The only thing you are ahead of is AK.

I probably would have led turn myself once he gave up the lead.

Flat turn, reevaluate river.

even though it is super nitty i might fold pre

AA KK AK is 80-90$ of his range. just wait for a better spot like having aa kk ak for yourself

as plsyed this flop is bad as he will check bac AA KK JJ or even the unlikelu TT

i might just fold as he would cbet AK or AQ as a bluff on the flop

also wouldbebet bigger as a bluff with AK OR AQ

I would bet all 3 streets. You are losing value here allowing to draw his cards or catch up for free

That seems ridiculous if his 3bet range is that tight. The only hand we beat is AK and the only one of those he's likely to call with is AhKh. Everything else has us drawing pretty close to dead.

Now I'm willing to debate his actual CO vs HJ 3bet range and that could certainly change things considerably.

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