2/5 NL Flop Decision with KK
11-27-2013
, 07:49 PM
Quote:
Meh, that's a pretty tight range. And there's a significant difference between his range calling a 3-bet OOP (when he had AA), and his range calling a 3-bet IP (one that's too small too) and he has a 3rd guy in the hand (original preflop caller) giving him more odds.
If you even add AQ to his range, which I don't think is unreasonable:
Board: Q
J
7
*******Equity*****Win*****Tie
MP2****45.45%**43.45%***2.00%*{ KdKc }
MP3****54.55%**52.55%***2.00%*{ JJ+, AQs, AQo }
So yes if he has nothing but sets/overpairs, it's a fold. But quite literally if you add any other hands whatsoever to his range, it's a call. So unless you have a read that he's very nitty I think it's a call.
If you even add AQ to his range, which I don't think is unreasonable:
Board: Q
J7*******Equity*****Win*****Tie
MP2****45.45%**43.45%***2.00%*{ KdKc }
MP3****54.55%**52.55%***2.00%*{ JJ+, AQs, AQo }
So yes if he has nothing but sets/overpairs, it's a fold. But quite literally if you add any other hands whatsoever to his range, it's a call. So unless you have a read that he's very nitty I think it's a call.
....unless he thinks he can get Hero to lay down the types of hand he has. That's interesting. If he does have AQ, it makes it less likely Hero has QQ, AA, and with Hero never 3B JJ in this spot Villain could have quite brilliantly nailed Hero to AK/KK. He folds out one gets a load of folds out of other (due to image) and if gets some calls he knows he has outs. Hmmm. I'm still weighted towards JJ-AA but maybe AQ can actually be added into his range, as a kind of weirdish bluff. AQs at least
