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Live Low-stakes NL Discussion of up to 3/5 live no-limit, pot-limit and spread-limit Texas Hold'em poker games, situations and strategies.

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Old 03-26-2014, 11:09 PM   #51
Diceman
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Re: $2/$5 NL: Critique my flop semi-bluff

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Originally Posted by Olaff View Post
What else would my range include here?
That's a great question. I'm very interested to hear if you'd ever raise with any hand outside that range.

Even when I'm playing TAG, there are times when I'd raise a board like that against late position openers that cbet on a board like that.

What matter most in this hand for how he should play his overpairs are both your raising range and what he perceives your raising range to be
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Old 03-26-2014, 11:14 PM   #52
au4all
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Re: $2/$5 NL: Critique my flop semi-bluff

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Originally Posted by Olaff View Post
Good, bad? Why?
There's a few reasons I don't like it.

1. If he doesn't fold and you have to bet the river you'll be drawing to a maximum of 8 outs. There's no card that can come on the turn that gives you more outs.

2. You might be drawing dead to runner-runner to win the pot or runner-runner to tie. Your draw isn't to the nuts. Nobody is calling with any second-best draws. It's not like you have 77 and someone could be calling with 33.

3. I don't hate the bluff but I don't understand the why. Just because it's been a few hours. Surely there have been better spots. Otherwise I think patience is best.

4. Given your (roughly) 16% percent chance of hitting your draw on the turn you're not even getting odds to draw needing to have a 27% chance of winning to call a 30 dollar bet.
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