Quote:
Villain is fairly new to the place but tight/solid from the small sample I've seen
Hero holding Aces
Villain UTG Opens to 15$
Hero SB 3-bets to 50$
Villain calls
Flop T28
Hero bets 80$
Villain snap calls
Turn K
Hero bets 180$
Villain all in for 700ish
I tanked for a while and ended up calling since the board was so draw heavy and with the snap call I threw all the sets out of his range
Ended up calling and he flipped over KTs
What went wrong here?
If you peg you’re villain as solid, his UTG raising range and calling a 3bet (vs 4betting it) should be relatively narrow.
His range is mostly 88-JJ (possibly QQ), AJs+, AKo
When he snap calls flop it may be a tell, or it may be a reverse tell. It’s a mistake to eliminate sets entirely from his range
Range: 88,99,TT, JJ, AdJd+
Turn: you bet 180 and he shoves for 700. Pot is 1150 and you have to call 520. Your getting a little more than 2:1
Looking at ranges now: the only hand that would logically do this as a semi bluff would be AdKd. You can throw in QdJd in there too but you said your villain is solid and his range of UTG raise call a 3bet isnt typically including these types of hands.
So you literally beat one hand. And you can’t be good 1 out of 3 times here. So turn is a fold. In this spot the relative hand strength of KT and sets is close. All you can do is revise your reads on him going forward.
Turn call isn’t going to be profitable imo
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