Live 2/5 NL

Hero- Young WG, somewhat new to 2/5, villain may or may not know that.
Villain- MAAG, fairly aggressive when involved, has been caught bluffing once or twice but mostly shows value hands at showdown.

effective stack ~$500

Hero opens to 25 UTG AK (Games been playing bigger than the normal 3x open, with opens ranging from 20-35, depending if the straddle is on or not).

Villain EP calls, LP Calls, BB Calls

4 ways Pot:102

Flop: AQ7

Ok flop for hero as it smacks my range vs flatting ranges, so hero continues for $60. Is sizing ok here? What other sizes can we use to accomplish what? I was mainly looking for folds from air and calls from any draws or worse made hands. Not looking to get tricky multi-way.

Villain (EP) raises to $180, LP and BB Fold.

Action back on us and we have TPTK and a massive range advantage. I don't think villain has any pocket aces or queens in his range, he does have pocket sevens more than us here. Two pairs he can have, A7s there are three combos, AQ I think he 3 bets as he has been aggressive. Q7s there are only 2 combos left. He could be doing this with QX where he has pair and a flush draw, with probably a gutter too. Is this a snap call/fold or a shove? with ~400 behind?

As played hero calls for $120 more

Pot: $462

Turn 2

Total blank, should never improve villain or hero. Hero Checks. Do we ever lead here?

Villain shoves and covers. Hero with ~$300 behind with $462 in the middle.

Once again, Snap call/fold?

Thanks in advance for the advice!

Villain's behaviour makes me think he doesn't want to get called. If he had two pair/set, do you think he would bet that much?

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Sucky spot, but you probably need to go with it on the flop. A lot of awkward turn cards and he's unlikely to give up on any of them. Jam flop and expect to get snapped and lose a fair amount of the time.

AP, can't fold turn now.

Not sure if he doesnt want to be called or of he knows AK is a huge part of heros range and doesnt think hell lay it down

Villain should be under bluffing this spot given you open UTG and c-bet AQ7ss 4-way and he still has two players behind. It’s mainly a live read decision.

Not having a spade may be beneficial, if villain is the type to jam draws. This really kinda feels like a set that doesn't want to see a spade (referring to the flop raise). What's in villain's value range that you feel like you're ahead of here? I see his value bets as A7, AQ, QQ, 77. Adding those into Equilab with a couple of bluffs/overplays like A5s, ATo and KJs for the balls deep combo draw, I show you slightly ahead with:

Board: As7sQc
Equity Win Tie
H 54.08% 53.68% 0.40% { AcKh }
V 45.92% 45.51% 0.40% { AA, QQ, 77, AQs-ATs, A5s, KsJs, AQo-ATo }

Taking out the bluffs/semi's and KJs You're looking at:

Board: As7sQc
Equity Win Tie
H 38.19% 37.89% 0.30% { AcKh }
V 61.81% 61.51% 0.30% { AA, QQ, 77, AQs-AJs, AQo-AJo }

I hate saying this, but folding flop might have been best, unless villain has a habit of these kind of moves. Against an UTG open, that's a suicide bluff on that board. Not many llsnl players have that in them.

AP You're getting just over 28% calling the turn. So it's a go at this point.

I think most people are not raising that flop without AK, Aq a7, or a set.

Only bluff i can think of is Qx spades.

People do occasionally just spaz with Ax, but for 100bb effective i don't think its that common. For 40bb or so, that spaz is more common.

Flop might just be a fold, unless you have some reason to believe they will raise something random, but that's rare. You are basically spaz catching, or hunting qx of spades. If you call flop, you probably are committed. Might as well jam turn to make sure to charge draws the maximum, and since you called flop, you are assuming draws are a major part of his range. I probably fold flop most of the time here, unless i have some feeling about the villain that he spazzes or overbluffs.

V says he can beat AK. Fold. The raise is protecting against the flush draw.

Pretty much this... we should have AA/QQ/77/AQ/A7 witch is 38 combos none of which we should be folding so I can get behind mucking AK on the flop, with that said I think this is very V dependent & done blame you for staking off here.


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Welcome to the forums!

As Buz said, the configuration of this hand is a key factor in the decision.

Pre – AQ might be in his calling range vs. an UTG open.

I’d B/F flop since even the pr/combo draws have good equity vs. AK. FWIW, I would’ve bet $75-80.

GL!

I think the flop sizing is ok.

I would actually fold to the raise. Villain is setting up a turn jam and we are mostly in bad shape aginst his range.

Thanks for all the replies, a lot of it makes sense. Villain showed up with 1 of the 2 remaining combos of Q7 suited. Hero missed his 8 outs OTR.