Real good table with a lot of loose/bad players. Villain is a bad LAG. Plays way too many hands, plays aggressively but poorly. He is effective stack about $450
1 Limper and Hero opens to 30 in MP with 9s9h
Villain flats in LP
Folds around and we're HU to flop:
Qh Tc 4h - Pot ~ $65
Hero check. Villain check.
Turn Jd
Hero?
Not sure if we want to lead here or go for a check call. He is definitely calling here with all Kx, Qx and 9x. Possibly calling with Jx. He will probably fold Tx. I think if I lead here and then bet river he will fold better hands like Jx and Tx. He perceives me to be tight but he's pretty bad and doesn't adjust much.
Would X/R turn just be horrible spew? We block Villain's current best hand (K9 assuming V 3bets AK preflop) and we can have AK ourselves here. We block combo draws with X9hh. X/R can fold JX/TX and it gets further value from unpaired KX/9X. But I guess river is pretty tough to negotiate OOP.
I just figure if he's the type of player to bet turn and river a lot after we check twice we effectively don't have showdown. There are too many crap rivers, even making K-high straight isn't great...
Would X/R turn just be horrible spew? We block Villain's current best hand (K9 assuming V 3bets AK preflop) and we can have AK ourselves here. We block combo draws with X9hh. X/R can fold JX/TX and it gets further value from unpaired KX/9X. But I guess river is pretty tough to negotiate OOP.
I just figure if he's the type of player to bet turn and river a lot after we check twice we effectively don't have showdown. There are too many crap rivers, even making K-high straight isn't great...
+1 to this
I'd x/r turn then jam brick rivers. We have such a massive range advantage, being the PFR on a QTxJ board.
