2/5 I want to make a ridiculous fold preflop - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

Straddle is on $500 effective

Game is 11am on a Wednesday

Villain is unknown really old man who looks like a nit, but never played with him before and the game just opened.

Hero is young white guy with AKcc

Preflop, villain limps $10 UTG, BTN limps, hero raises to $55 from SB, villain raises to $120, BTN folds, hero?

Last edited by Jarretman; 05-17-2017 at 11:22 AM.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:16 AM

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

Hero should maybe reconsider 3 betting UTG opens from ancient unknown old men.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:23 AM

Jarretman

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 2,937

I didn't 3bet, he limped. Straddle is on

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:25 AM

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

Right.

Ya that would be pretty nitty. If you assign a range and calculate your odds it's not tough to figure out. This usually boils down to whether or not you think he ever has AK or QQ.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:28 AM

matzah_ball

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2012 Posts: 2,726

This is a standard fold

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:29 AM

recondite7

old hand

Join Date: Jul 2005 Posts: 1,971

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jarretman

Folding is not crazy here since AA is by far his most likely holding here even with you having the AKs. Even if your read is wrong and his range is slightly wider, you aren't in a great spot here.

In real time I probably can't fold it and I would probably call and fold if no A or K comes on the flop.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:35 AM

dmccoy87

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 647

No way can I find a fold here. Even if we narrow Villain's range to AA or KK, you have 23.2% equity. If you add in QQ, JJ, and AKs you are up 40.3%

Post-flop if we miss entirely we can reevaluate.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:39 AM

Ragequit99

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 2,575

I don't like our odds of being up against QQ- and that's only for a flip as I'm pretty much certain this is never AQ- V looks committed so I doubt we can force a fold from his AK if it is even in his range. We don't have much upside gii preflop here.

I don't much like calling to fit/fold the flop, though I can see myself doing it in game. If we gii we're chopping or dead to AA or a set. If we overtake villain it's really hard to get any more chips out of him. I can see myself calling with more of a read on this villain but readless I think we have very little upside going this route either (a chop or the dead money).

Fold is therefore reasonable in my opinion.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:45 AM

DeathCabForTootie

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,722

against an unknown 50bb effective I jammalammadingdong here. calling the 3b sucks imo and lol @ folding. unless we know this is only AA, we have the proper equity to continue on.

if we can get a fold occasionally from JJ/QQ, even better.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:50 AM

#10

Lapidator

LLSNL Frequent Flyer

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 13,762

If you like $$$ just fold.

If you want to gambooooollll.... flat and see if you can get a dirty flop and make him fold his AA.

KQJ or QJT (and lol, you flopped the nuts and he folds! LMFAO) or QQx or w/e. Maybe there's a 10% chance he just pitches the rockets in your face.

lulz.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:51 AM

#11

diskoteque

Joey Local

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 30,420

Folding is horrendous

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:51 AM

#12

CallMeVernon

COTM Crusher

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 4,086

It may be the case that shoving is better than folding, but I think it's at best a close decision. A fold would not be "ridiculous" at all.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:53 AM

#13

diskoteque

Joey Local

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 30,420

On phone but what is our equity vs AA KK AK QQ? That's the absolute tightest range possible for this guy and I bet we have correct odds even vs that

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:53 AM

#14

Lapidator

LLSNL Frequent Flyer

Join Date: Apr 2012 Posts: 13,762

IME, the 11am UTG limp-3b from octogenarians is 99.9999% AA and 0.0001% ATC that looked like AA to 80 year old cataract afflicted eyes.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 11:54 AM

#15

BackDoorFlush

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 2,171

Fold.

I would be very surprised if the OMC has anything other than AA/KK. He probably has exactly AA, given how small he L/R.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 12:08 PM

#16

DeathCabForTootie

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 5,722

Quote:

Originally Posted by diskoteque

On phone but what is our equity vs AA KK AK QQ? That's the absolute tightest range possible for this guy and I bet we have correct odds even vs that

even vs only QQ+ we have 34% which is enough to at least call

Quote

05-17-2017 , 12:26 PM

#17

dmccoy87

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2017 Posts: 647

Quote:

Originally Posted by diskoteque

On phone but what is our equity vs AA KK AK QQ? That's the absolute tightest range possible for this guy and I bet we have correct odds even vs that

37.5%

Quote

05-17-2017 , 01:21 PM

#18

Playbig2000

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 11,313

an unknown old man who looks like a nit limp/3betting from UTG in a straddled pot is an easy fold. Yes, for some people their ego's won't let them fold but it is what it is.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 01:23 PM

#19

diskoteque

Joey Local

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 30,420

What line do you think he takes with KK and QQ?

Quote

05-17-2017 , 01:28 PM

#20

Ragequit99

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 2,575

He open raises KK-TT AK AJs+ KQs

Quote

05-17-2017 , 01:28 PM

#21

Ragequit99

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2015 Posts: 2,575

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lapidator

IME, the 11am UTG limp-3b from octogenarians is 99.9999% AA and 0.0001% ATC that looked like AA to 80 year old cataract afflicted eyes.

This is exactly correct.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 02:02 PM

#22

johnnyBuz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2013 Posts: 7,563

Quote:

Originally Posted by diskoteque

What line do you think he takes with KK and QQ?

KK is debatable, probably a mix of l/rr and l/c. QQ I would assume l/c.

I would expect to see AA here >90% of the time.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 02:19 PM

#23

diskoteque

Joey Local

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 30,420

I guess in my experience an old man coffee who likes to l/rr is l/rr'ing with KK and QQ (and even 99-JJ) a fair amount too ESPECIALLY when there is a straddle

Obviously if you're 100% sure the guy isn't doing this with anything other than AA it is a fold but I just can't put him on that range.

Quote

05-17-2017 , 02:20 PM

#24

DormantShark

journeyman

Join Date: Apr 2013 Posts: 204

This happened to me like 2 days ago. 160 year old man isn't getting aggressive with QQ and isn't getting cute with 88 or JT. This is AA 80%, KK 19%, and 44 that he thinks is AA 1%. You're never flipping and the only question is how badly you're crushed. If you call and hit the flop, congratulations - your 1 pair is now losing to a set or an overpair.

If you absolutely have to, ask if he can beat nines, then look disappointed and fold.

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk