Quote:
Originally Posted by venice10
Since tight players don't raise 32s pf, the odds your hand is good on the river is near zero.
oof i may have pulled the trigger on my response too soon - as this whole reply i think raises great points.
Venice - why so near zero? TAGs on the verge of nit still use their image to turn hands w/ SDV into bluffs/etc, no?
I dont think I'd make a point of calling down TAGs in this spot on a paired board especially but if there's a board that a TAG/nit can show up with more bets than checks on the river its a runout like this imo. (So effectively, the distribution of value/bluffs is slightly skewed towards the center rather than weighted towards value.)