Quote:
Originally Posted by JB Clark
Yeah i never actually thought about that. I use 8:1 because its so easy to calculate in game but 8.5 is correct. Thanks!
So that makes set mining +$25 (when he always has AA KK)
No. The point of my post was to find the minimum average equity we need to GII with when we flop a set to be profitable. Given these pot+implied odds and that we flop a set 1/8.5 times, we need >= 92.6% equity on average when we GII. We only have 91.4% equity on the best possible flop for us (excluding quads).
Pure set mining is a losing strategy here, even if he always has AA/KK and always stacks off regardless of runout and action. Don't forget that we still get sucked out on sometimes even when we outflop him.
http://www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: Tc7s3h
Equity Win Tie
UTG 91.41% 91.41% 0.00% { TT }
UTG+1 8.59% 8.59% 0.00% { AA }