2/5 Weekday evening. Quiet table. Lots of small pots, no crazy action.
Villain: is a serious-rec - often in the casino, knows/chats w the regs, pretty ABC, but solid. TAGgy. Villain prob views hero as similar. Effective stacks 500
EP opens limps,
Hero raise to 25 with A
Q
from Hijack,
Button calls,
Villain completes in BB
Flop ($100): A
K
8
Villain Checks, EP Checks, Hero bets $65, Button fold, Villain calls $65, EP fold.
Turn ($230): 6
Villain checks pretty quickly, Hero bets $100, Villain thinks for 10 secs and then calls.
River ($430): 5
Villain quickly shoves for about $275.
My thinking was his range is mostly two fold
1. Flopped flush. And he is sandbagging. Rare but obv possible.
2. Pair and a FD. Either an A, K or 8 with a heart.
Based on pure math, it should be a call. What else should I consider?