Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board 2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board

02-08-2020 , 07:07 PM
Meetup game with Jaman Burton. Hand took place about half an orbit after Jaman left our table. People were playing a bit looser with him sitting, but I did not yet see whether ranges tightened back up.

V1 (UTG/~$600) had been at the table about 30 min. I did not know him, but know of him and he plays in some high-limit home games around KC. He appeared pretty LAGgy and solid post-flop.

V2 (UTG+1/~$800) is one of the guys who runs the podium at my normal casino. I've played with him once before and he knows what he's doing. He's new to the table; probably fourth hand. I'd classify him as a standard TAG.

Hero (HJ/$1300) My image is TAG. I've played several big pots and after two bad beats that felted me earlier, I've run from $500 to $1300 before this hand. I have not played a big pot since either of these guys have been at the table, but did take down one pot preflop with a 4-bet.

OTTH

UTG calls $10 (button straddle), UTG+1 raises to $35, Hero 3-bets to $100 with 1010, both call

Flop Jh10h5c
Check to Hero, bet $200, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds

Turn Kh
Check, check

River 9h
UTG bets $125, Hero ???
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-08-2020 , 07:12 PM
Do you have the Th?

Never mind...

Last edited by fatmanonguitar; 02-08-2020 at 07:12 PM. Reason: I can’t read
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-08-2020 , 07:14 PM
Worst river card in the deck. You have a bluff catcher but you beat nothing and he doesn’t really have bluffs. Fold.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-08-2020 , 07:32 PM
3 bet $125-$150 pre.

Flop is fine.

Bet $350 Ott - I hate checking here.

Fold river.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-08-2020 , 08:04 PM
Just shove the turn. There are three broadway hearts so we shouldn't be that concerned about flushes. Tons of worse hands can call.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-08-2020 , 08:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by trob888
Just shove the turn. There are three broadway hearts so we shouldn't be that concerned about flushes. Tons of worse hands can call.
****, my bad, I didn't look at effective stack. Yeah, I'm totally on board with shoving.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-09-2020 , 11:53 AM
Thanks for the input. I agree I screwed up the turn and should have just gone with it there.

I ran the numbers for the river decision in equilab after the fact and even if I put him on a tight UTG range, I still have 33% equity on the river facing a 15% bet. On his wider range that I think is more realistic, my equity goes up to 67%. I think this player easily has enough bluffs in his range that a call would be profitable.

In reality, I gave a ton of credit to his smaller sizing as value and didn't think long before folding face up. He showed 52s.

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-09-2020 , 11:58 AM
Can anyone else get behind over betting this flop? Board is sopping wet. I think balance is pretty far out the window here and we’re multi-way. Pot is already 300 American dollars
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-09-2020 , 08:28 PM
Fold as played.

Turn - pot is $700, $300 left in V stack … AI. He has some A-high flushes in his pre/post calling range, but there are other big hearts on the board which block many more flush combos.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-10-2020 , 04:10 AM
Turn seems like an easy shove imo with <1/2 pot size bet eff. left
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote
02-10-2020 , 07:04 AM
Might wanna re-evaluate the "solid post-flop" read. At least he didn't check the river I guess.

Not going to say call/fold post results, but you shouldn't be folding very much of your range to a 1/6th pot bet.

I don't understand why you would check turn.
2/5 Flopped Set Facing River Bet on Scary Board Quote

      
m