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2/5 Flopped bottom set 2/5 Flopped bottom set

06-04-2017 , 12:28 AM
2/5 NL Holdem

Hero $1000
Villan $1500

Hero 22

Villan is younger Asian guy, running very well

Hero limps UTG with 22

folds around

Villan makes it $20 from button, Hero calls

Flop
2c7h3h

Hero checks, Villan bets $30, Hero?

Hero calls

Turn
9d

Hero checks, Villan bets $50, Hero raises to $150, Villan calls

River
Jh

Hero checks, Villan bets $300

Hero?
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 12:59 AM
I don't like limping preflop.

On the flop, I'd raise. You have a very strong hand and you need to start building the pot.

Raise more on the turn - around $200-$250, maybe more.

Fold river.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 08:31 AM
Raise the flop,
Turn raise I'd good, lead at the river,
As played call

You can never fold your set here.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 03:03 PM
If you check the river, you're inviting a bluff. Call pre, call flop, x/r turn, x river looks like a hand that flopped big but is now afraid of the flush.

If V is aggro and will often bluff the river (greater than 33% for a PSB), I like x/c the river up to PSB. (If V is sufficiently aggro, you should check any hand here.)

If V is passive, you can x/f the river.

If V is in the middle, so that he might be bluffing somewhere around the correct frequency, I like a b/f 150 (assuming that won't induce a bluff raise).

You can x/r the turn larger. With your call, pot was 200 and you put 100 on top. I think 150 on top (200 total) is about right. I wouldn't make it larger than 250 unless you know V probably has an overpair and that he'll stack off with it. You don't want to blow draws off their hand and you definitely don't want to raise so large that V starts to find folds with hands you're crushing. It's OK to allow a profitable flush draw in as long as you make more from the times he has some other, crushed, hand.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 08:06 PM
Case2 thank you very much for your thought out response. I really like you analysis and reasoning. I was thinking of today of this hand and thought around a half pot lead on the river might make the most sense vs this player. Not overly aggro or passive, but this bet makes him define his hand. Over pairs, and 2 pairs will call and flushes will raise. Don't see him turning a hand with equity into a bluff and a river raise from him seems ambitious, would probably need Ah.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 10:42 PM
preflop: limping EP is fine as long as the table is playing very loose and passive. otherwise, you're setting yourself up to be playing a HU pot, OOP with a capped range. exactly what you got, and not very good. most 2/5 games im familiar with are aggressive enough so as to not want to be limping small pairs up front.

postflop: i think i like check/call on this flop. this is a pretty dry flop and villain will most likely be cbetting close to, if not, 100%. there's no need to raise b/c there's not much you can have to balance your c/r sets with. villain's cbet range is wide and weak, no reason to blow him off. on the turn, i would donk here. its not a turn that will hit a lot of his range and so i'd expect his 2-barrel frequency to be fairly low. there's some medium strength showdown value hands that you may pick up value from that would otherwise check/back if you check.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-04-2017 , 10:51 PM
What are your thoughts on the river?
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote
06-05-2017 , 04:42 AM
Fold pre.

Raise flop. It's super drawy.

Turn raise is good AP.

AP, fold river. You don't really beat anything.
2/5 Flopped bottom set Quote

      
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