2/5
Hero (button)-1200ish- Hero is very aggro, even for this game, a bit laggy (will open probably 35% of hands OTB), this session has gone to showdown when Hero raised 56s from the button, got 2 callers, Cbet (1/2 pot) A34cc flop, one caller, bet 7c turn (1/2 pot), and potted the 5s river. MHIG (player mucked at SD). Only hand of note (Hero has not been here long). Was V paying attention? I dunno.
V (MP)-1000ish-V is a fairly normal player for this game. He is aggro, but the game is aggro. Calls too wide preflop and floats Cbets a lot (whole table does this). Gets serious OTT.
V limps in MP, Hero raises Q
Q
$40 OTB. Blinds fold and V calls.
FLOP ($81)- A
J
6
V checks, H bets $60, V calls.
TURN ($201)- (A
J
6
) A
V checks, Hero?
Okay, this is where my question comes in. Do we make more money here by checking and allowing V to bet at the river? Or should we bet again in the 100-120 range? Hero is reasonably certain that he is ahead here, and I'm not worried about the times I am behind.
V likely caught a piece of this flop, either the J or the 6 (less likely the A, the Vs I play against love to do a small reraise with TP to "see where they are at" against me. One benefit of playing so aggressive). 2 pair that just boated is certainly possible, as well as 2 pair that just got counterfeited (I would weight the counterfeited 2 pair more heavily, see above). Despite the fact that I will raise preflop as weak as 56s, my range contains more As than his, however, he may feel (as I do) that the second A OTB makes it less likely that I hold one.
I am not particularly worried about the club draw, as I think he would likely have floated flop with A
X
mostly. So I feel that the draw cards (the Ts and
s) are "good" for me, rather than action killers.
I feel like QQ on this board is at max a two streets of value hand. What do you think?