2/5 check/raised on turn with small flush, paired board - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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2/5 check/raised on turn with small flush, paired board

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08-12-2014 , 09:53 AM

Ranma4703

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2006 Posts: 3,099

Playing 2/5. villain is the target, calls like 70% of my raises. table in general is fairly tight but has had a couple of call cascades. V has made a couple of turn raises vs me and other players, ie - I open, 2 callers, flop Q85r, I bet 2 calls, turn A, I bet 125, villain makes it 280, I fold. Around 3-4 turn raises in the two hours I've been at the table, none all in.
Effective stack sizes $700

3 limps to me on the button, I make it $35 with 6

($85)
He checks, I bet $55, he calls
Turn: T

($195)
He checks, I bet $185, he puts me all in for $425ish more

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08-12-2014 , 10:18 AM

AHoosierA

banned

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 325

We have to get it in IMO

There are many hands in V's range that still include heavy draws. AJo+ w/ A

KQo w/

Given V's previous bet sizing, I would assume his value raises were "I have it, please call" and now the shove is "I'm drawing to the nuts, if you call I have outs"

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08-12-2014 , 10:41 AM

MSchu18

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 17,464

q10 is in his range... but more than likely it's a single queen. I am calling that every day of the week against this type player.

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08-12-2014 , 11:44 AM

Troyble

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2014 Posts: 345

Call.

I really doubt he has a boat here. You might lose to a higher flush , but I think its more likely he has Qx and is looking to get it in before another club falls.

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08-12-2014 , 03:37 PM

peac b the journey

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2013 Posts: 439

Call.

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08-12-2014 , 04:19 PM

problemeliminator

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 9,467

Do you normally bet 185 into 195 or was that specific to this V?

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08-12-2014 , 04:20 PM

azan1

stranger

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 3

I think its a fold since you haven't seen any hands go to showdown. 3-4 turn raises in 2 hours in a very small sample size. Unless you've seen him overvalue hands this should be a fold imo

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08-13-2014 , 12:32 AM

jesse123

adept

Join Date: Dec 2013 Posts: 1,078

You should already have an answer to his shove before you make your turn bet. If you're planning to fold to a shove, you should be betting smaller (maybe $120). If you want to get stacks in, then a larger bet is fine.

A key question is "how does V perceive hero"? He's calling 70% of your raises. He keeps raising the turn. Why is he doing this? Is it possible he pegs you as a folder and thinks that he can knock you out on the turn whenever he wants?

As played, I think it's an easy call. You're beat sometimes, but you're ahead more often than not.

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