You are likely ahead of one of the players for the time being for some as-yet determined price. Things get tricky when you account for the two players left to act, the two cards yet to come, and the two streets of betting we have to face OOP to a maniac and (potentially) other players. A hand that only improves on 2 turn/river cards (discounting the BDGSSD to a 4-straight on a paired board) does not play well in such a situation.

We have to fade a myriad of cards and actions for us to win the pot with a call here ... to the point that I wouldn't be surprised if our 2-out full house draw contributes more to the EV of a call than the scant permutations where we win at SD unimproved do.

GRUNCH

Preflop is fine as is an open raise. Check/fold flop. Remember, the plan was to set-mine? Since set-mining preflop was profitable that means we can check/fold flop.

Here's additional reason to check/fold flop: If we are winning, we only have like 75% equity at most since most of his bluffs will be two overcards. If we are losing, we only have 8% equity. Additionally by calling we allow him to play the rest of the hand very profitably and easily and bluff correctly, putting us in tough spots.

As played on the river, incredibly easy call. We need to call 61% of the time or more to stop him from profitably bluffing ATC. Also we only need to win 28% of the time to breakeven.

It does when you realize that he's just missed his nfd+overs (notice I didn't write all Ahi calls).

He's a hyper lag playmaster. I think Ahi is well within possible calldown range. Lags love to herocall otr because they talk themselves into putting V on THEIR fos range in that spot.

I fold flop not because we are behind but because villain can just make our life miserable with position and aggression. I like our preflop plan of set mining, I'm going to take a stand in a better spot.

idk if results got posted, but i call it off. if he has TT+ here and tried to get value idrgaf, wp, looks like he needs to get fancy leveling here for us to give up w any pair/maybe even ace high ever

what is his bluff frequency? is he just bombing away with weak and strong hands? or does he only bet when he has something?

as played, and if his bluff frenquency is low, fold. if he has air in some of his range, call.


same goes for the flop. if he has lots of complete air bluffs in his range, just call the flop.

but if he is value betting the flop with something like A4, shove on him. turn your hand into a bluff and rep an 8. SuperLags give away lots of equity by betting when they know they are behind, but they can overcome this by betting big when they know they are ahead, making this type of play longterm profitable against a passive table.

but when other players play back at them and make them lay down hands when they are actually ahead, then they are losers very quickly.

^^also passively calling down against a super lag/even acting mildly uncomfortable (while making a silent pact to ourselves to never fold no matter how scary things get bc we asked for the money in the middle and then later hitting instagram with $100 bill pictures like floyd mayweather) and further provoking super lag... tho?

Not to nitpck here, but is this guy even a LAG? Does this guy know what he's doing or is he just an aggro maniac (fish) whose actions are pretty random alltogether? You mentioned he only had a stack of 160 before his heater began, which suggests he's a fish.

Anyway, I think the flop is a trivial fold and as played I would call the river.