Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ
Really needs more information about villain. This is such a villain specific situation after you check flop. Depending on villain
This type of thinking is very detrimental to improving your poker ability. You should be basing your decisions off of a solid theoretical base point and then adjusting your play IF you have some exploitative reasons based on your specific villains. Also, if you want to make some exploitative plays you can do so based off of a population, such as the population of 2/5 players. But saying "oh I can't give advice because we need more information about villain" is really a dumb thing to say. What if this was our first hand vs villain?
So turn was 3 ways so his range is going to be stronger than if it was HU but given the sizing and HJ already folding I like calling.
I'd fold river. Even though the sizing is very small I feel like exploitatively 2/5 players are not going to have enough bluffs. Given that turn was 3 way a lot of his bluffs are going to be diamonds which now get there on the river. He doesn't have a lot of natural bluffs that aren't diamonds given he called out of the SB and he's have to be turning a hand like T9s/JTs/QJs/QTs into a bluff on the river. Hands like Ax no flush draw might be bluffs but that's pretty unlikely ime. Even theoretically though I feel like AQhh doesn't need to call this river, even for that small sizing, given turn was 3way. We would rather call AQ with a diamond, QJ with a diamond, Kx that checked the flop, and not to mention we have TT, some AJ/J9 and flushes as well.