Hero $500 tight MAG
V1 MAG covers, unstudied but dangerous V who learns from experience. Calls wide, has bluffs, influences action with speech, makes decent reads. Recently called a raise OOP with 76o and flopped two pair vs AK on A76 for a big pot.
V2 MAG ABC tight reg covers.
Hero opens A
K
UTG to $20, V1 calls from MP, V2 calls OTB, BB calls.
Flop ($80): 5
4
4
Hero x, V1 x, V2 $30, call, call. Not anxious to bloat a pot OOP with a flush draw when someone could actually show up with an over pair or a 4 and make life miserable. x/c more for pot control.
Turn ($170): 5
4
4
K
Hero x, V1$60, V2 fold, Hero call. Could raise here but Kx is probably folding and we block a lot of diamond draws so continuing ranges seem to have us in bad shape. If a K or diamond he we just hope they bet again.
River ($290): 5
4
4
K
9
Hero x, V $250, Hero? I'm not going to give him all the 54 combos but definitely 54s (2), 55 (3), 44 (1), I'll throw in one combo of 54o (1). That's 7 value combos. I'll give him 3 combos of A4, 2 combos of 34, 2 combos of missed 67 type hands that bluff the scare card river after we check and some flushes that we beat. So I feel like we are close to 50/50 again here. Do we flat or jam? His flushes and A4 aren't likely to fold but his bluffs and Kx likely will.