2/5, 9 handed, $800 effective.
Hero has an aggressive image, probably TAG. The table has been going for about two hours, and hero has played almost every hand as a raise pre, 3 bet twice, has 3 bet every board except one, and has only gotten AQo and KJs to showdown (both were raised pre; AQ had TPTK on dry board and run out, three streets oop, KJs flopped Broadway and got three streets ip.)
Both villains have been playing loose passive. This is the first time I've played with either, but HJ has raised pre twice and had JJ and AA. BTN has raised once with QQ, and 3 bet once with KK. Other than that, both have been exclusively calling pre, and I'd say both are very similar, 33%ish VPIP - not concerned if it's $5 to them or a raise.
OTTH
Hero opens LJ $20 A
A
and only the two villains call.
Flop ($67): Q
J
8
. Hero bets $40 and both villains call. Vs better players, I feel like this is a slam dunk check, but vs two loose passive fish, I think we can get value from so much worse, and it seems like we should be value betting here. I'm folding to a raise (though I think that's obvious.) Thoughts?
Turn ($187): 4
. Hero bets $125 and only HJ calls. Same idea from the flop, nothing has changed.
River ($437): 2
. Hero bets $150. This is a spot where I would check in the past, but after watching Bart Hanson, I feel like this is a bet. We can't call if we x and villain bets, almost certainly getting paid by KQ+, maybe even QT/Q9? We're also never getting bluff raised. What do you think of the overall line?