Quote:
Originally Posted by 6bet me
This is all well and good in a heads up pot, but when there's still another player to act behind (the guy that 3bet pre then flatted the 4bet), doesn't that drastically increase the chance that someone has a set here?
If the V's were reversed then there is a small chance that I could find a fold. However, lets look at combos oh hands that might flat a 4!.
99: 3 left
TT: 6 left
JJ: 3 Left
QQ: 3 left
KK: 6 left
AK: 8 left
AA: 1 left
So even if you only give say 2 combos of AK (A
K
and A
Kx) that is 14 hands that we are ahead of and 9 we are behind and one where we chop (which is less likely as most players will 5! ship after the action...additionally, I am going to assume KT/T8 are not in the range and if either is, then strap on the belt and stay here forever, yahoo). Also, there is a small chance of AQss in the 4! calling range (especially from TAGfish).
Getting 2-1 (or 3-1 if HJ also calls) is simply too good a price to fold unless you thought these guys were super nits who would only ship with a set. Not saying it is a fistpump, but I think you need to prepare yourself to stack off with your stack size when you do 4! pre. And if that makes you uncomfortable on this type of board, then maybe you size the 4! larger so the decision is easier. I prefer to get the highest value and am fine stacking off on any board, hence my suggestion of the smaller size.