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2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This 2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This

01-29-2017 , 07:58 PM
This is a hand that I was at the table for in a recent session. It is a pretty interesting hand and I would like to see how 2p2 ranges both players to the river.

HJ is a weak player, limps and calls too much pf, plays fit or fold postflop
Button knows a lot of people at the table so probably a reg, thinks he is really good. Raises a fair amount but has taken up to limping more in late positon as he is getting 3 bet by another player not involved in this hand.
SB is watching a movie on his phone while playing. Talked a bit about strategy with someone else at the table and at least has some concepts down about poker.

2/5

HJ ($600) raises to $20
CO ($400) calls $20
Button ($2000) calls $20
SB ($1300) completes $20

Flop ($80) 9TQ
SB checks
HJ bets $25
CO folds
Button calls $25
SB raises to $80
HJ calls $55
Button calls $55

Turn ($320) K
SB checks
HJ checks
Button tanks for 30 seconds and bets $175
SB tanks for 30 seconds and min raises to $350
Button thinks for 15 seconds and calls

River ($1020)


What do you think both players ranges are?
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote
01-29-2017 , 09:30 PM
This feels like a situation where SB and BTN turned up with surprisingly weak hands. The straight read on this situation without some history between players is super strong but this is also a good situation for some bluffs and semi-bluffs if SB and BTN have history. When HJ fails to bet turn you can mostly figure he is done with hand, most likely AQ that figures to be dead on the turn.

I would put button on JX/set/nut flush draw in abstract. Given the action he isn't likely to be bluffing or betting anything marginal on the turn. He is getting a great price to see river though with anything worth betting. Probably not AJ because those likely shove turn. SB's range is about the same but AJ is more likely and draws less likely.
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote
01-29-2017 , 10:21 PM
I'll take a stab at it...

Button's range stays pretty wide:

Calls $20 preflop- jj-22, aqs-a2s, ak-at, kqs-k2s, kq-kt, qjs-q9s, qj-qt, jts-j9s, t9s-t8s, t9, 87s-86s, 76s, 65s, 54s (assumes raising aa-qq, aks)

Calls $20, then calls $55 after another call- drop 88-22, AK, at, maybe kt, t9 and all lower non heart combos. (would probably raise most kj, TT, 99, a9 hh) outside chance of AA, kk, qq or aks or kjs hearts... J8 unlikely

Bets $175 then calls min raise to $350- same pairs jj-99, ajs, Ajo, kjs, kj, qj, jt, j9, ax hearts, some Kx hearts, most 2 pair hands are gone, maybe some lower flush draws too. Leaning towards jx hands, sets, some ax hearts, kj hearts, maybe k9 hearts, qt diamonds.

SB narrows by the turn action:

Calls $20 as 3rd caller- jj-22, aqs-a2s, ak-at, kqs-k9s, kq-kj, qjs-qts, qj, jts-j9s, t9s-t8s, 87s, 76s, 65s (similar to button but likely tighter watching a movie)

Check raises in a 4 way pot on an extremely dynamic board- JJ, TT, 99, ax hearts, aq-aj, kj, kj hearts, k9 hearts, maybe aq especially diamonds, qj, qt, q9, j9 hearts maybe jt

Check raises again, this time min to $350- JJ, aj, kj hearts?, qj, j9, jt probably leaning heavier on jack + flush draw or AJ hands
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote
01-29-2017 , 11:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by QuadJ

...I would put button on JX/set/nut flush draw in abstract. Given the action he isn't likely to be bluffing or betting anything marginal on the turn. He is getting a great price to see river though with anything worth betting. Probably not AJ because those likely shove turn. SB's range is about the same but AJ is more likely and draws less likely.
Thanks for the reply, as this hand requires more thought since we do not know any hole cards.

Do you think button would call the 1/4 pot bet on the flop with a set without raising? Almost seems like that would be dangerous with such a connected board and so many scare cards that could fall. It almost seems like he always has a draw here.
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote
01-30-2017 , 09:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jewtalian
Do you think button would call the 1/4 pot bet on the flop with a set without raising? Almost seems like that would be dangerous with such a connected board and so many scare cards that could fall. It almost seems like he always has a draw here.
It isn't likely but if BTN thought calling would get him heads up with HJ it's possible. Given the way the hand played out you have to think somebody is doing something unusual when all of the money doesn't go in on the turn. After the flop check/raise and a scary turn card BTN should mostly be checking turn with a draw. I think JX is his most likely hand.
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote
01-30-2017 , 10:34 AM
Pretty sure button has kq or k10 and sb has J10dd, QJdd, AJ, maybe KJhh and Jx

Last edited by Tiltyjoker; 01-30-2017 at 10:41 AM.
2/5 250 BB Deep Connected Board Help Me Range This Quote

      
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