Quote:
Originally Posted by BackDoorFlush
Because you are going to end up playing a massively bloated pot out of position. 57% of the time an over-card hits the flop, when you have JJ. And now you have no good options.
Option 1: Check call flop; check fold turn.
Option 2: Hero call V all the way down.
Option 3: Merge your hand into a bluff and check/raise the flop, praying that the music composer folds Qx/is bluffing. He might fold Qx, but I seriously doubt that he is bluffing. You have shown a lot of strength this hand. I doubt that he is air-balling the flop.
Okay, maybe I size a bit bigger pre-flop to 280 for a better squeeze about 5% of the time. 95% of the time raise-call or limp-call.
As played.
Ultimately, I thought check-call flop, and check-fold turn was awful, I might as well fold now. Check-fold seemed okay, but I guess I played pre-flop bad (Mistake #1) and I wanted to redeem myself by winning the pot. Mistake #2.
I went with Option 3. I figured Mozart had KQ or AQ, I could probably make him fold TPTK, if that's what he has, by repping AA/KK but I would need my whole stack to do it. I think he would call a raise in this spot, and even a min-raise would blow up SPR. So, I overbet jam 2x pot. No guts no glory.
MP folds to Mozart. He tanks. Good sign. He asks for a count. I count out my stack. He fiddles with his chips, counting his stack. Then he says aloud, "okay, I'm going to deviate from the strategy." Then mucks his hand.
I may have botched this hand but I am fist pumping in my mind.
Thank you all for the feedback. I guess I got lucky with my read/situation I put myself in.