800ish effective
Villain is a splashy loose passive whale. Limp call pre with 32o type. He's not a total drooler though, he's folding AQ on a567 to a raise. And he's done weird stuff like 3bet 88 to 5x raise then fold to 4bet shove.
Flop 220: 6s2h3h 3 checks, villain bets 115, hero makes it 250, folds, villain calls quickly.
Pre-flop looks fine, but IF there were say 6 limpers, I would be making it 55-60~
Flop: I hate this flop for us, with 4 limpers, no bueno. Smash certain ranges. 1st thing of note, V is showing interest when he's not last aggressor, if that is in anyway uncommon for him and it seems like based on background information it is, that's red flag. Lots to say about your raise:
- It doesn't really help you that much figuring out where he's at. If you raise more, like 305+ if he continues it's easier to apply range, but with him calling this raise it leaves you open to so much possibilities. He should fold 77+ and 42, 34, 35, 52, and a lone 6. But now we just don't know.
- Although you would level me a bit with such a raise, I'd think are you minning with Big Pair, or AK.
- By raising the flop you 100% rep QQ+ and if he continues with you and shows aggression after that I don't know how you're not beat.
- You wanna charge draws and get money in when you have the best, but when he donks does he not have you beat here, does he play draws aggressively, or is this a made hand/set? You would know, not me? You raise here if you put him on a draw, you call if you think he has 77+, a lone 6, or air. So much of it comes down how does he play a monster (that can be beaten by draw hitting) vs draw vs middling hand... You would know of all of us, any insight? something?
Continuing on Bold: On Flop: call, raise, raise/shove, raise/fold, comes down so freaking much to the bold.
Turn: I fold to almost all turn bets. We were the last aggressor on turn, we have initiation, if he donks on
that turn I'm out.
As played, I'm checking it back ofc.
River: If he shoves I'm folding. If he bets 350 I'm folding. If he bets 100... I'm folding?
TLDR:
Pre-Flop: 55
Flop: (Villian History dependent) Fold or Raise 305~ If then shoved on, I painfully fold.
Turn: If he donks, I prob fold. If he checks, I check back.
River: I fold to damn near everything. Cept to like 100-200, I might call.
---He has it.