![[2/5] 150bb AK TPTK gets jammed on](https://d30akgybcov179.cloudfront.net/icons/hamburger.svg){kind=icon}
![[2/5] 150bb AK TPTK gets jammed on](https://d30akgybcov179.cloudfront.net/icons/close-sidebar.svg){kind=icon}
[2/5] 150bb AK TPTK gets jammed on
07-23-2019
, 11:13 PM
Villain has been at the table for maybe twenty minutes, he's young and seems a bit loose, he just lost a medium sized pot and may be tilting, but reads are real sparse right now. He's the effective stack with $750, he sat with $1000
HJ limps, villain limps, sb completes, and I raise to $40 with A
K
, villain is the only caller.
Flop: A
92 ($90)
I bet $65, he raises to $165 fairly quickly, I think for a couple seconds and call
Turn: T ($420)
I check, he very quickly goes all in for $550
HJ limps, villain limps, sb completes, and I raise to $40 with A
K, villain is the only caller.Flop: A
92 ($90)I bet $65, he raises to $165 fairly quickly, I think for a couple seconds and call
Turn: T
($420)I check, he very quickly goes all in for $550
![[2/5] 150bb AK TPTK gets jammed on](https://d30akgybcov179.cloudfront.net/icons/quote.svg){kind=icon}
07-24-2019
, 09:55 AM
07-24-2019
, 10:12 AM
Not true! He's holding A9 sometimes too. 
In all seriousness, a flop "snap raise" is a semi-bluff soooooo often that my default inclination is usually to call but ... what draw can he be on here besides exactly KQ? I can see the merits of folding this spot.
AP, your flat turned your AK into a bluff-catcher. Against a bluffy LAG this is a snap-call. Against a nittier player it's a snap-fold. In between, or readless, it's a judgment call. Personally I'd sigh-fold against all but the loosest 10% or so of the player pool and if he bluffed me out, NH sir.
In all seriousness, a flop "snap raise" is a semi-bluff soooooo often that my default inclination is usually to call but ... what draw can he be on here besides exactly KQ
? I can see the merits of folding this spot.AP, your flat turned your AK into a bluff-catcher. Against a bluffy LAG this is a snap-call. Against a nittier player it's a snap-fold. In between, or readless, it's a judgment call. Personally I'd sigh-fold against all but the loosest 10% or so of the player pool and if he bluffed me out, NH sir.
07-24-2019
, 10:47 AM
Villain probably doesn't any A better than AT due to limping pre, so we're looking at A9, A2s, 99, 22 for villain's value raising range. Lots of suited hands that he could x/r with though slightly fewer given the Ah on the flop. Don't think he's ever jamming worse for value, but given the number of flush draws in range we probably gotta call.
Ran a sim after typing that, it seems pretty close.
Ran a sim after typing that, it seems pretty close.
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 33,660 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: A92 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| A9,Ax2x,99,22,KQ-54:hh,KJ-64:hh,KT-J8:hh | 61.29% | 20,608 | 46 |
| AsKc | 38.71% | 13,006 | 46 |
07-28-2019
, 12:29 PM
